Monday, August 22, 2016

Good news for Donald Trump, the media says poll numbers are up and the campaign is making a comeback. Bad news, it's the Russian media.

Courtesy of Sputnik News:

Donald Trump appears to have made a political comeback for the ages, but the media has gone silent about a major new poll that shows the Republican has catapulted back into the lead instead showing their viewers polls from three weeks ago. 

Following a major shake-up in his campaign’s leadership with the hiring of seasoned political operative Kellyanne Conway to manage the effort and controversial Brietbart CEO Steve Bannon to consult on messaging, Donald Trump has seen a meteoric rise in daily tracking polls jumping eight points to somersault past Hillary Clinton calling the corporate media’s coronation of the former Secretary of State into question. 

The poll, released by USC/LA Times asks a portion of 3,000 US citizens randomly across all households and demographic groups who they prefer for president. The poll is conducted each day to measure any volatile shifts in the candidates’ performance and to gauge the momentum of the race. 

The poll finds that Trump now holds a two point lead over Clinton, nationally. The poll found Donald Trump seven points ahead of Hillary Clinton at the start of the Democratic National Convention marred by WikiLeaks revelations of a coordinated effort by Hillary Clinton’s campaign, the DNC, and the mainstream media to undermine the electoral chances of opponent Bernie Sanders. The press were actually told to report spoon fed lines from political operatives “without attribution” in order to create a false narrative. Esteemed journalists such as dean of the Nevada political press corps and MSNBC correspondent Jon Ralston happily did as they were told.

Wow! That sounded like it could have come directly from Breitbart News instead of a Russian new outlet.

As you might imagine that USC/LA Times poll is an outlier and a quick check over at Real Clear Politics shows that most of the polling has Hillary up significantly over Trump in every other poll.

Of course to get the straight poop the best source is Nate Silver over at FiveThirtyEight: 

Hillary Clinton moved into a clear polling lead over Donald Trump just after the Democratic convention, which ended on July 28. Pretty much ever since, the reporters and poll watchers that I follow have seemed eager to tell the next twist in the story. Would Trump’s numbers get even worse, possibly leading to the first double-digit victory for a Democratic presidential candidate since 1964? Or would Trump mount a comeback? As of last Tuesday, there wasn’t much evidence of an overall shift in the race. Trump was gaining ground in some polls but losing ground in a roughly equal number of them. 

Since then, Trump has gotten some slightly better results, with national polls suggesting a race more in line with a 5- or 6-percentage-point lead for Clinton instead of the 7- or 8-point lead she had earlier in August. But state polls haven’t really followed suit and continue to show Clinton with some of her largest leads of the campaign. Trump received some decent numbers in Iowa and Nevada, but his polls in other swing states have been bad. 

Overall, Trump has gained slightly in our forecasts: He’s up to a 15 percent chance of winning the Electoral College in our polls-only model, up from a low of 11 percent a week ago. 

In other words Trump is still getting slaughtered, but the slaughter is only slightly less bloody.

However for the Russian news agency that signifies a "comeback."

Is this the moment in time that we can stop arguing that Russia is NOT trying to get Donald Trump elected? 

14 comments:

  1. Per Josh Marshall, Sputnik News reports to the guy on the horse. http://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/into-the-alt-left-alt-right-russian-alt-universe

    ReplyDelete
  2. Anonymous6:39 AM

    Since Donald does not seem to respond to our requests, should we ask the Russian people (his peoples) to ask Trump:

    Trump Where Are Your Taxes Bro?

    ReplyDelete
  3. Anonymous6:50 AM

    Melania Trump where is your Illegal Immigration speech written by your husband's campaign staffers you promised America?

    NO SPEECH
    NO MELANIA

    "Dasvidanya Melania Knauss"

    Russian for

    "Goodbye Melania Knauss"

    ReplyDelete
  4. Anonymous7:08 AM


    On the Internet:
    What Happened to Melania Trump's Caviar Skincare Line?
    Posted by Racked - 1 hour ago


    BREAKING: Melania Trump Exposed As Alleged Former 'High End Sex Worker', Campaign Implodes.
    Posted by Bipartisan Report
    - 1 day ago

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous7:26 AM

      Are those alleged "High End Sex Workers" women not as lucky as Melania Knauss?

      Delete
  5. Anonymous8:42 AM

    The only ones who would benefit by a dRUMPf fuhrership is the Russian government/Putin. So of course they are resorting to the old propaganda machine to try and change reality.

    The US would lose all credibility in the world should dRUMPf win.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Anonymous10:22 AM

    Hillary! Where are your Wallstreet speeches transcripts?

    ReplyDelete
  7. Anonymous10:42 AM

    That gives some the answer they were looking for...
    Thanks Putin...for your years of service..your fired!

    ReplyDelete
  8. Anonymous1:11 PM

    Was the Inquisitir and the editor threatened with a lawsuit?


    'The Inquisitr' issues Melania Trump apology and retraction

    The Inquisitr issued an apology to Melania Trump on Monday and retracted a story they published about the life of Republican Presidential candidate Donald Trump's wife prior to their marriage.

    The online news site posted a story within the last week that alleged the model had once worked as an escort before she started dating the billionaire businessman.

    http://www.aol.com/article/2016/08/22/the-inquisitr-issues-melania-trump-apology-retraction/21456734/

    ReplyDelete
  9. Anonymous1:15 PM

    That's why the Inquisitr apologies to the potential First Lady


    Melania Trump to sue Daily Mail for reporting she worked as an ‘escort’ before marrying her husband

    The wife of the GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump is in the process of filing a lawsuit against the Daily Mail – as well as a few other media outlets — for reporting she worked as a paid “escort” prior to marrying the self-described billionaire.

    According to Politico, an attorney for the former model said that several media organizations have been put on notice to expect legal action for defaming the potential First Lady.

    https://www.rawstory.com/2016/08/melania-trump-to-sue-daily-mail-for-reporting-she-worked-as-an-escort-before-marrying-her-husband/

    ReplyDelete
  10. Anonymous1:19 PM

    Inside the Juicy Drama Surrounding Melania Trump’s Caviar Skin-Care Line

    There's nothing the Trump family does better than drama. Ivanka Trump is a feminist who doesn't pay interns, Melania Trump seems to have a knack for plagiarism, and Donald Trump is just Donald. The latest source of drama comes from Melania again, and it involves her now-defunct caviar skin-care line, threesomes, and a lineup of lawsuits...

    Read more at
    http://nymag.com/thecut/2016/08/melania-trumps-skin-care-line-has-so-much-drama.html

    ReplyDelete
  11. Anonymous1:26 PM

    a lawyer representing Trump, said in a statement emailed to USA TODAY. "All such statements are 100% false, highly damaging to her reputation, and personally hurtful.”


    So Melania's husband can make 100% false statements and allegations against President Obama, other men and women but don't dare say nothing about his wife. A little thin skinned Donald?

    ReplyDelete
  12. Anonymous1:55 PM

    Can Donald sue everybody who said Melania doesn't have a degree in architecture?

    ReplyDelete
  13. Anonymous2:10 PM

    Caucasian people who has issues with African Americans still has issues with President Obama due to the rhetoric and flames of hate that Donald Trump kept stirring up. If you read the last paragraph, Donald is proud how popular he became.

    ABC:
    The re-emergence of a discussion over President Obama's religion and birthplace as part of Donald Trump's presidential campaign might give some people a sense of deja vu.

    The reality TV star and businessman has spoken extensively about his questions over whether Barak Obama was actually born in Hawaii like he (and the state of Hawaii) says he was.

    In 2011, when he was vocally mulling over a possible presidential run, Trump launched a public pursuit of Obama's birth certificate, announcing that he has sent private investigators to Hawaii to see what they could find.

    The president then released the long-form version of his birth certificate in response to the uproar that Trump had caused. After its release, Trump said that he was "proud of myself because I've accomplished something nobody has been able to accomplish."

    He continued to defend his decision to bring up the issue, and told ABC News’ John Karl in 2013 that he knew what he was doing.

    "I don't think I went overboard. Actually, I think it made me very popular... I do think I know what I'm doing," Trump said in 2013.

    ReplyDelete

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