Sunday, August 14, 2016

I have been saying for awhile now that Hillary Clinton needs to win this election by a landslide. Here is what that might look like.

Courtesy of FiveThirtyEight:

In a normal presidential election, both candidates raise essentially unlimited money and staff their campaigns with hundreds of experienced professionals. In a normal presidential election, both candidates are good representatives of their party’s traditional values and therefore unite almost all their party’s voters behind them. In a normal presidential election, both candidates have years of experience running for office and deftly pivot away from controversies to exploit their opponents’ weaknesses. In a normal presidential election, both candidates target a broad enough range of demographic groups to have a viable chance of reaching 51 percent of the vote. This may not be a normal presidential election because while most of those things are true for Clinton, it’s not clear that any of them apply to Trump.

Now Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight by no means suggests that Hillary WILL beat Donald Trump for certain, much less in a landslide victory.

But considering the circumstances  of this election that possibility does exist.

Here are a couple of examples of what we might see in November if indeed that is the case.


I like it. That's a good solid win.

However don't forget that Trump is going to cry foul and claim the election was stolen, so a much bigger margin would be preferable.

Oh yeah, that's much better.

Bill Clinton won Missouri twice and South Carolina seems to up for grabs this time as well. So this could be a very likely scenario.

But you know what? I would like to see an even bigger margin if possible.


Wow, Texas going blue, and Alaska!

Damn wouldn't that be something?

Let me just say how over the moon I would be if my state finally voted for Democratic nominee in a presidential election for the first time since 1964.

It's unlikely though right?

But if we turn out in significant numbers we might come close to seeing something like this come to fruition. Never hurts to try, right?

I don't know about the rest of you, but I have managed to convince at least five young people so far to register this year for the first time, and I can guarantee that none of them are going to vote for Trump.

If we all try to do that, well then just maybe dreams CAN come true.

24 comments:

  1. Anonymous4:38 AM

    Yes, your dream of electing a Republican will have come true! http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/14/opinion/sunday/the-perfect-gop-nominee.html?rref=collection%2Fcolumn%2Fmaureen-dowd&action=click&contentCollection=opinion&region=stream&module=stream_unit&version=latest&contentPlacement=1&pgtype=collection&_r=0

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous5:50 AM

      I'm not clicking on that, I can see Maureen Dowd wrote it, so Gryphen's pet Hillary Hater must have posted it.

      Delete
    2. Anonymous6:57 AM

      Agree, 5:50! I had the same exact thought!

      Delete
    3. Anonymous1:07 PM

      I never click any links where they do not reproduce from the link via copy and paste what point they are trying to highlight.

      Delete
  2. Anonymous4:55 AM

    Sadly, Trump right now is borderline straight jacket crazy and idiots would still vote for him. They'd rather fuck over the whole country and most of the planet for their own agenda.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Anonymous5:00 AM

    This country NEEDS a third party to win or at least gain enough momentum to scare Hillary into being nice and ethical.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous5:47 AM

      oh, fuck off.

      Delete
    2. Anonymous10:30 AM

      No. This country needs some third parties to do just a little better each election to scare both parties into stopping the madness and the crazy.

      Delete
  4. Anonymous5:47 AM

    Donald Trump is always going to throw temper tantrums and poop in his diaper. Everything is always rigged when he doesn't get what he wants.

    Who gives a shit what his freak followers think? Trump can claim what he wants and his freaks can go to hell.

    ReplyDelete
  5. Don't Boo, just Vote!

    ReplyDelete
  6. Anonymous5:54 AM

    Clinton v Trump. Three debates.

    Don't you feel better already?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous6:42 AM

      If he even agrees to them. Isn't he already putting demands out?

      Delete
    2. Anonymous9:44 AM

      Trump will outperform Hillary in the debates and go on to take the presidency.

      Delete
  7. Anonymous6:51 AM

    Alaska is not going blue, I'll see to that. I still got some clout up here.
    -Sarah

    ReplyDelete
  8. Anonymous6:59 AM

    друзей Проголосовать за Дональда Трампа

    (Friends Vote For Donald Trump)

    ReplyDelete
  9. Chi-town Girl...7:08 AM

    My biggest concern is voter turnout. The majority of voters don't like either candidate and may stay home and not vote. The Democrats need to have a registration drive NOW. Otherwise the Trump crazies will get "Mein Fuhrer" into the White House or we'll all be headed to Canada.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous10:32 AM

      5 ways to make sure Trump loses:

      http://www.huffingtonpost.com/michael-moore/5-ways-to-make-sure-trump-loses_b_11407538.html

      Delete
    2. Leland11:17 AM

      "The majority of voters don't like either candidate...."

      Link please? More than 1. Something like that needs real proof.

      Delete
    3. Anonymous1:10 PM

      If Hillary gets 50%, obviously saying "the majority of voters do not either candidate" is BS

      Delete
    4. Anonymous2:46 PM

      Yes.My biggest concern is voter turnout. Complacency is the killer here. Drumpf's only hope is dropping a yuuuge bomb as an October surprise.

      Delete
  10. Anonymous7:49 AM

    That the wannabe fuhrer dRUMPf could even garner 30% of the vote, emphasizes the moronic values of a sizable portion of the people in the US.

    ReplyDelete
  11. Anonymous8:14 AM

    Polls: Clinton Running the Table in Key Battlegrounds

    http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/polls-clinton-running-table-key-battlegrounds-n629136

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous10:38 AM

      I suspect the Trump poison is trickling down to infect the down tickets.

      Why Rubio is gaining I have no idea. Does he represent an Alzheimer's district? I guess they forgot he abandoned them when he was running for President, then promised he would not seek re-election. I think he said something negative about Trump lately so that may be where the bump came from.

      Too bad Biden couldn't have helped his opponent with fund raising and a nice digital shout out, but he was busy raising money for DWS and wishing her daughter a happy Bat Mizvah. Way to get your priorities straight, Debbie.

      Delete
  12. Anonymous8:18 AM

    OT? Jesus school get you this!
    "One teacher belittled Daniel in front of his classmates, calling him “lazy” and showing his failing exam papers in class for other students to see. His sister Kristen Fitzpatrick, who also attends Holy Angels, said that particular teacher is known for his sadistic attitude toward students he doesn’t feel measure up."
    http://www.rawstory.com/2016/08/staten-island-teen-hangs-self-after-catholic-school-staff-do-nothing-to-stop-bullying/

    ReplyDelete

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It just goes directly to their thighs.