Wednesday, October 26, 2016

Cook Report claims that Democrats are likely to win seven Senate seats in November. Only need four to win majority.

Courtesy of TPM:  

The Cook Political Report reported Tuesday morning that Democrats will take back their majority and win five to seven Senate seats in November. 

Cook Political Report's Senate analyst Jennifer Duffy wrote that it looks like Republicans have finally reached the point where they can no longer simply run their own races. They are being drowned out by their presidential nominee Donald Trump. 

Duffy wrote that ever since a tape surfaced of Trump discussing making unwanted sexual advances toward women, Republicans have been slowly sinking in polls across the country. 

Democrats needed four seats to win control of the chamber assuming Hillary Clinton wins the White House (thanks to the vice president's tie-breaker) or five without her.

The Senate seats predicted to go to the Democrats are in  Nevada, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Florida, Missouri, Indiana, and Pennsylvania.

This of course is only a prediction, and anything could change before November 8th, But damn this is starting to feel like a landslide.

51 comments:

  1. Hope this sends Sarah and ilk into apoplectic fits.

    If her meds don't do that first.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous9:48 AM

      Couldn't of happened to a better person. Karma, baby, karma.

      Delete
  2. Anonymous8:44 AM

    This is OT. David French was on NPR's "Fresh Air" today. He was bemoaning the growth alt right and how he and Nancy have been harrassed by the very people they were kissing asses with when writing for the Palins. I wish I could feel some sympathy, but they are reaping what they sowed.

    ReplyDelete
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    1. Anonymous12:06 PM

      I occasionally listen to NPR and I might have driven into the ditch if I'd heard this.

      Whew!

      Delete
  3. Anonymous8:47 AM

    Star Power Gone
    http://deadline.com/2016/10/donald-trump-hollywood-walk-of-fame-star-destroyed-video-1201842969/

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous1:32 AM

      tear down that wall lol

      Delete
  4. Anonymous9:04 AM

    Somebody can't do their arithmetic. In the 114th Senate there are 54 Republicans and 46 Democrats. Dems need to win 5 seats to have control i.e. 51-49. The VP doesn't count toward the majority. The VP is in the Executive Branch and while his only role in the Senate is to break ties, you can't claim a 50 - 50 split + the VP is "Control", fergawdsake. Silliness.

    ReplyDelete
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    1. Anonymous9:25 AM

      Of course you can since the VP does have a vote. So, only 50 Senators, along with a Democratic administration give control of the Senate to the Democratic party.

      Delete
    2. Anonymous11:46 AM

      Nonsense. You, Gryphen and TPM are plain wrong and blowing happy unicorn farts. Dems have to win +5 to have a Senate majority: 51

      Let's do the Real Arithmetic: There are 100 Senators. A majority of 100 is 51 or more.

      50 + the VP is not a Senate majority. The VP is not a member of the Senate,as Lyndon Johnson learned the hard way. His role is ceremonial and his tie-breaking vote, let alone his appearance in the Senate chamber or on Capitol Hill in general, is historically rare.

      It's pure malarkey to envision or claim a situation where the VP would have to tie-break every Senate vote gives one party a "majority".

      51 Senators is a Senate majority. Claims to the contrary are flat out wrong.

      Delete
    3. Anonymous12:07 PM

      Agree.

      51 is a minimum majority in the Senate. Not counting all the Repubs that will throw in with Hillary. (somewhere less than zero)

      Delete
    4. Anonymous4:31 PM

      Fifty-one is the majority of 100; no one could argue otherwise. However, having the VP with a tie-breaking vote gives the party who has it CONTROL over the Senate.

      How often it may come into play is irrelevant, just as how often the vote might be 51 to 49.

      Delete
  5. Anonymous9:07 AM

    Not sure why Megan Kelly did not offer up the Newt Justice on silver platter. She let that old bully nasty ugly perv predator off the hook and allowed him to call her obsessed with sex? It seems every person associated with t rump has a sex problem, drug problem, marriage problem, anger problem, lying problem, money problem, credit problem, hate problem, and more. WTF? Really?.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous9:23 AM

      BECAUSE >Everything is about
      $EXxx, BULLYing and MONEY$$$
      in that order.

      Delete
    2. Anonymous1:51 PM

      @9:23 Jim Wright at Stonekettle explains this to a Tea >Party like no other...
      https://www.facebook.com/Stonekettle/posts/1134690326566369

      Delete
  6. Anonymous9:10 AM

    REVEALED: Shady pro-Trump PAC targeting blacks and ‘suburban moms’ with ‘voter suppression’ campaign

    http://www.rawstory.com/2016/10/revealed-shady-pro-trump-pac-targeting-blacks-and-suburban-moms-with-voter-suppression-campaign/

    ReplyDelete
  7. Anonymous9:11 AM

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Cvqo79kWEAAOw9a.jpg

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous9:25 AM

      Can You say KOCKED most of them?
      WOW........

      Delete
  8. Anonymous9:14 AM

    Trump Biographer: 'Rigged Election' Is Cover For Humiliation Trump's 'Losing To A Woman'

    Michael D'Antonio, a Pulitzer Prize winning reporter and Trump biographer told CNN that Donald pitched the "rigged election" narrative because, "The idea of being defeated by a woman is almost unimaginable for him."

    http://crooksandliars.com/2016/10/trump-biographer-rigged-election-cover

    ReplyDelete
  9. Anonymous9:18 AM

    Fox News NEW electoral map: Trump loses in a landslide

    http://therightscoop.com/fox-news-new-electoral-map-trump-loses-landslide/

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous9:24 AM

      Hopefully it will be a loss by avalanche including Alaska.

      Delete
  10. Anonymous9:31 AM

    Disturbing Photos Sum Up The Horror That Has Been Trump’s Campaign

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/jean-malek-donald-trump-photography_us_580fa05de4b02b1d9e633f0c

    ReplyDelete
  11. Anonymous9:38 AM

    Bill Clinton showed the difference between professionals and amateurs by offering a rousing defense of the ACA after Donald Trump completely flubbed on Obamacare.

    Video:

    http://www.politicususa.com/2016/10/25/bill-clinton-puts-final-nail-gops-coffin-trump-obamacare-flub.html

    ReplyDelete
  12. Anonymous9:39 AM

    http://wonkette.com/607920/donald-trump-love-gushing-over-hillary-clinton-is-bestest-thing-youll-see-all-day

    ReplyDelete
  13. Anonymous9:42 AM

    Good additional piece on Trump's involvement in underage girl sex parties. And it sounds like something's being worked on that will be more of an October surprise:


    http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/10/25/1586568/-Daily-Beast-Inside-Donald-Trump-s-One-Stop-Parties-Attendees-Recall-Cocaine-and-Very-Young-Models

    ReplyDelete
  14. Anonymous9:44 AM

    Hills Comes Alive in Randy Rainbow’s Nasty Woman Musical – WATCH

    http://www.towleroad.com/2016/10/hills-comes-alive-randy-rainbows-nasty-woman-musical-watch/

    ReplyDelete
  15. Anonymous10:12 AM

    So repubics can vote out Ryan as speaker due to his none support, due to language and behavior of trump, but rnc wont disqualify a tyrant who makes no sense.

    ReplyDelete
  16. Anonymous10:27 AM

    OT>drumpf on Tuesday to HER-MAN KAINE>"Kills all the Eagles."And you look at all these windmills. Half of them are broken. They’re rusting and rotting. You know, you’re driving into Palm Springs, California, and it looks like a poor man’s version of Disneyland. It’s the WORST thing you’ve ever seen.”
    According to the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, only two eagles were killed by wind turbines in the Palm Springs area since 1997. the Audubon Society’s “Birds and Climate Change” report, climate change threatens more than half of North American bird species,"
    2012>
    "Scottish government, first minister Alex Salmond, calling wind turbines “monsters,” called the project “insanity,” and accused Salmond of being “hell-bent on destroying Scotland’s coastline.” Trump’s argument was largely that the wind turbines would ruin the aesthetic appeal of his golf course.""With the reckless installation of these monsters, you will single-handedly have done more damage to Scotland than virtually any event in Scottish history."
    "As a matter of fact, I have just authorised my staff to allocate a substantial amount of money to launch an international campaign to fight your plan to surround Scotland's coast with many thousands of wind turbines."
    He added: "Please understand that I am doing this to save Scotland. "This letter is a rather desperate attempt by a rich man who is used to getting his own way. But his latest tizzy is embarrassing. Instead of the world laughing at Scotland, Scotland is laughing at Mr Trump.We won't be bullied by Mr Trump and his Millions."“It’s an amazing thing when you think — you know, where they can, out of NOWHERE, out of the wind, they make energy,” Trump said."
    https://thinkprogress.org/donald-trump-wind-kills-all-the-eagles-bd4acf3264d#.m2ffsx2gk

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous11:54 AM

      FACTS> WRONG!
      http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2016/10/donald-trump-energy-false-false-false-false-false-false-false

      Delete
    2. Anonymous1:43 PM

      Hey, when you are ready to give up electricity get back to me. Something always suffers when there are too many fucking humans on this planet that require too many resources.

      If you are one of us that didn't breed and feed the problem that is overpopulation and the resource development that is required to support too many humans raise your fucking hand.

      The world is fucked number one because of people. Try wrapping if fucking up or getting on the pill and NOT making any more "Virus Human" because WE are the problem. The less there are of US the more Eagles that won't be chewed up by wind turbines.

      What part of this do you people NOT get?

      Delete
    3. Anonymous2:20 PM

      http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-10-25/record-green-power-installations-beat-fossil-fuel-for-first-time?source=socnet_fb_cc_20161026_bo_clean-energy_record_2&utm_medium=social&utm_source=fb_bo&utm_campaign=socnet_fb_cc_20161026_bo_clean-energy_record_2&utm_content=20161026_bo_clean-energy_record_2

      From Bloomberg

      Delete
  17. Anonymous10:36 AM

    These FUCKERS are talking YEARS!>
    http://www.politicususa.com/2016/10/26/republicans-call-hillary-clinton-presidency-target-rich-brag-upcoming-investigations.html

    ReplyDelete
  18. Anonymous10:55 AM

    Getting Don Young and Lisa Murkowski out of office should be the top priority of Alaskans. They've been there far too long - are part of the 'do nothing' Congress as well as being obstructionists.

    Alaska needs to turn blue and get new representation in the Alaska Legislature and the United States Congress!

    Vote Hillary Clinton too as our first woman POTUS. She is experienced, qualified and far, far more able than is The Donald!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous11:33 AM

      http://www.politicususa.com/2016/10/26/millennials-flock-hillary-clinton-democratic-nominee-outperforming-obama.html

      Delete
    2. Anonymous1:40 PM

      That unfortunately is not going to happen this election. If anything our crazy right-wing AK populace is going to elect in Joe Miller, and old Don Young will have another two years.

      There is hope in other states but not here in AK, not by a long shot, even if our popular vote goes to Hillary for POTUS our 3 Electors are GOP and they will go for Trump.

      The being said, at this point in time for Alaska's largest city needs some conservative values that might go a long way to cleaning up the mess that has happened there over the last 20 years.

      There needs to be a "cleansing" of the bad elements in Anchorage and only conservatives are brave enough to buy those plane tickets and send these miscreants packing instead of writing "feel good" pieces about how the new "diversity" in Anchorage is working out so well.

      Many of us will not even step foot in that cesspool except for when we have to utilize your airport.

      Clean up Anchorage, get rid of the rabble, make your city safe again, and I'm not a hard right myself , but damn, they will clean that place up and the rest of us will be safer.

      Delete
  19. Anonymous11:23 AM

    Nancy French wrote this....https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/acts-of-faith/wp/2016/10/21/what-its-like-to-experience-the-2016-election-as-both-a-conservative-and-a-sex-abuse-survivor/.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous12:08 PM

      Nancy French wrote in her article:
      Here’s the truth. The GOP once was alive but is now dead. It confuses me to hear the values preached from the podium but ignored in real life; it feels odd to just repurpose a political party into an extension of the trump Empire without acknowledging the values which had so recently dwelled there.

      Nancy, do you realize that by being the ghostwriter for the Palin's, giving those vile people a hint of legitimacy, you have played a major role in killing off your beloved party?? To repeat, "values preached from the podium but ignored in real life." That pretty much sums up Sarah Palin and her daughter Bristol. Hell, it covers the whole Palin clan.

      By making the Palin's "America's Best Christsian Family" you have opened the floodgates for every RWNJ to flood your Twitter acount with vile, hateful comments now that you have turned against "Cheeto Jesus". You sowed the seeds and are now reaping the harvest.

      Delete
    2. Anonymous1:33 PM

      What the hell, she's now walking back all of her bad behavior writing for the Palins and other poor examples of christianity by saying she was assaulted?

      Fuck this woman she is so fucked up in the head that one cannot believe a single word that comes out of her mouth.

      Grow up Nancy French. Grow up and realize the world is a cold, hard place, there is no heaven, no hell, just a small time here with your heart beating and your lungs breathing.

      Why don't you atone by trying to do some fucking good in your own miserable fucking life instead of just breeding hate and division?

      If there was a hell you'd go there a thousand times over but there isn't and you'll just cease to live like the rest of us, but you have a voice and you should use it for good, not evil, as you have done for your entire "journalistic" career.

      This woman really pisses me off.

      Delete
    3. Anonymous1:43 PM

      12:08 PM - Hear Hear!

      Delete
  20. Anonymous11:29 AM

    http://www.politicususa.com/2016/10/26/millennials-flock-hillary-clinton-democratic-nominee-outperforming-obama.html

    ReplyDelete
  21. Anonymous11:44 AM

    THIS IS YOOGE!


    The Amish In America Commit Their Vote To Donald Trump; Mathematically Guaranteeing Him A Presidential Victory

    http://cnn.com.de/news/amish-commit-vote-donald-trump-now-lock-presidency/

    Since I haven't seen this covered in the lamestream media BOTH THE MEDIA AND
    THE POLLS MUST BE RIGGED!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous6:14 PM

      Are there more Amish than Mormons?

      Evan McMullin might win Utah.

      Even if Pennsylvania and Ohio goes to Trump, he still can't win.

      I find it bizarre that the Amish would tie their votes to a man so morally corrupt. His behavior is everything the Amish would SHUN.

      Delete
    2. Anonymous6:19 PM

      "Though Clinton has pledged to stay in the race until the very end, many of her campaign workers have already resigned. According to the Associated Press, it is expected that the Clinton campaign will lose 50% of its staff over the next two weeks. There is a general mood of hopelessness and despair in the Clinton camp, and many simply want to cut their losses."

      This sounds like someone has been smoking some Trumpweed. How possible is it that this article is a giant Donald PR hallucination?

      I think I'll stick with Nate Silver. If this has any merit, he'll have it in his polls and on this site.

      My guess is the Amish have always voted Republican so they won't shift Nate Silver's predictions at all.

      Delete
    3. Anonymous10:05 PM

      You guys have been trolled. It's a fake news site. Read the other headlines. Really???? 3 million Amish pour into Columbus, Ohio. Where are your critical thinking skills?

      Delete
  22. Anonymous12:18 PM

    OT? A$ LOUD as gunshot or firecrackers? “We found that males with larger hyoids, who can make lower-pitch vocalizations, have SMALLER BALLS testes and live in single-male groups with a harem of a few females,"
    http://motherboard.vice.com/read/the-louder-the-monkey-the-smaller-its-balls-study-finds-42361364663309

    ReplyDelete
  23. Anonymous12:46 PM

    Didn't he do that weeks ago or is this because I know him and knew then.

    ReplyDelete
  24. I want a landslide similar to 1936.

    ReplyDelete
  25. Anonymous4:35 PM

    "The Senate seats predicted to go to the Democrats are in Nevada, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Florida, Missouri, Indiana, and Pennsylvania."

    This doesn't make sense. The two states most likely to go to the dems are Wisconsin and Illinois, which aren't even mentioned.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous6:34 PM

      According to Nate Silver 10 seats are pretty safely Democratic: WA, OR, CA, CO, WI, IL, NY, VT, CT, MD.

      There are five leaning. MO, IN and NH will give them the 50 they need +Kaine as a tie breaker. NV and PA are also leaning Dem so that would give them 52.

      North Carolina is R +1.7 so that is the closest toss up. That would give the Dems 53.

      Silver gives greatest odds for the Dems to have 51 and the Republicans to have 49.

      Delete
    2. Anonymous10:41 PM

      The point is that of those ten states that are "safe" for the dems, there are two that are flipping from repub to dem, WI and IL. The others are already dem.

      Delete
  26. @Conga18:22 PM

    From The Daily Beast: Married Donald Trump Kept ‘Proposing’ to Celebrity Apprentice and Playboy Model Brande Roderick http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2016/10/26/married-donald-trump-kept-proposing-to-celebrity-apprentice-and-playboy-model-brande-roderick.html?via=desktop&source=twitter What a sicko.

    ReplyDelete

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