The case that the Comey letter—or the media's handling of the letter—cost Clinton the election is painfully obvious. https://t.co/xDGspbTQLu— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) April 22, 2017
Clinton experienced a sharp, 3-point drop in her polls after the Comey letter came out. Then on 11/8, she lost FL, WI, PA & MI by <=1 point.— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) April 22, 2017
It's a fairly open-and-shut case. But the media's election post-mortems have mostly ignored it because it implicates the media's judgement. pic.twitter.com/cBLifP9WLu— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) April 22, 2017
The polls and the pundits didn't get it wrong, they were just unprepared for the FBI to alter the trajectory of the election.These were the lead news stories (per @memeorandum) over the final 19 days of last year's campaign. Anything stand out? pic.twitter.com/St7a0tBG3L— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) April 24, 2017
This is why I can never give Comey that pass.
I suspect that many people voted for Trump but did not want to admit that to pollsters and other people. Those voters knew they were voting for a racist, sexist and unqualified piece of shit in Trump but they just didn't care.
ReplyDeleteAnd I STILL run in to the paid "But if Dems had just run a strong candidate" paid trolls around the web. My God, Hillary on her worst day looks like God Himself next to Trump on his best day. What a creepy, deceitful, lying, POS is in the WH. And that goes for the Prince and Princess and the soulless sons as well. We are screwed unless the GOP grows a pair and gets them out before they totally bankrupt us and send us into nuclear war.
ReplyDeleteSilver isn't "blaming" Comey's letter, you should notice. He's impugning media judgment with regard to it, rightly enough.
ReplyDeleteIF you remember, trump kept repeating "need those numbers" "Get those numbers to me" As the final months evolved don spoke to his people. He wanted to see where and how much rigging was necessary. And then "Russia if you are listening? get those emails" The election was rigged by criminal election officials, by rigged machines, by early ballots, by overseas ballots, by denying voters, by bribes, extortions, cheating electoral votes, by dirty board supervisors, dirty sheriffs, dirty politicains, and lame voters. There is NO question trump is a liar and this election was rigged. Resignation Impeachment and new election is the only remedy.
ReplyDeleteYes! X1000!
Delete"Resignation Impeachment and new election is the only remedy."
DeleteSounds great but Drumpf wont resign, Red Congress wont impeach and there isn't a constitutional mechanism fot do-over elections.
Lol, the election do-over person.
DeleteHow truly ignorant can one be?
Silver desperately attempting to stay relevant.
ReplyDeleteNate Silber is smart, experienced, and VERY relevant.
DeleteMy woman’s intuition said Hillary just lost the election the day Comey came out with the email crap right before the election.
ReplyDeleteAlso it didn’t help that the morons in the media allowed KellyAnn to make the rounds stating Hillary has been indicted, an obvious lie, but no one corrected her.
So now we have an ignorant, mentally ill president that was elected by a minority of voters.
You got thst right...
Delete