Tuesday, April 08, 2008

Well this is good news for both Barack Obama and the Democrats in general.

Traders in the Dublin-based Intrade prediction market gave Democratic front-runner Barack Obama an 86 percent chance of being the Democratic presidential nominee, versus a 12.8 percent for Clinton, the New York senator and former first lady.

Results were similar on the Iowa Electronic Markets at the University of Iowa, with traders giving Obama an 82.9 percent chance of winning, versus a 12.8 percent chance for Clinton.
Intrade traders were betting the Democratic nominee would ultimately become president. They gave the Democrat a 59.1 percent chance of winning, versus a 48.8 percent chance for the Republican. Iowa traders gave the Democrat a 57.1 percent chance of winning, versus 46.3 percent for the Republican.


I find it very gratifying to find that by every measure available Obama continue to be determined the most likely Democratic nominee and then the most likely President.

It is not often that I have back the winner, but I am pretty damn sure this man is going to be the winner.

And then we will ALL be winners.

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