PPP's newest poll on the special election in South Carolina finds Democrat Elizabeth Colbert Busch expanding her lead to 9 points over Mark Sanford at 50/41. Green Party candidate Eugene Platt polls at 3%.
Colbert Busch's lead is on the rise for several reasons. She has a 51/35 advantage with independents. She's winning over 19% of Republicans, while losing just 7% of Democrats. And it also seems that after last week's revelations about Sanford that a lot of GOP voters are planning to just stay at home- while the district supported Mitt Romney by 18 points last fall, those planning to turn out for the special election voted for him by only a 5 point spread.
Sanford continues to be unpopular in the district with 38% of voters rating him favorably to 56% with a negative opinion. 51% say the revelations about his trespassing last week give them doubts about his fitness for public office. Interestingly the events of the last week haven't hurt Sanford too much with Republicans though- 65% say the trespassing charges don't give them any doubts about him, and his favorability with GOP voters has actually improved from 55/39 a month ago to now 61/32.
Interestingly enough it is not ONLY Sanford's repellant personality that has shifted public opinion away from him, it may also have a little something to do with guns.
Although Sanford's unpopularity is clearly the main reason Democrats have a chance to win in this district, it's interesting to note that there is some backlash against Republicans over last week's vote on background checks. 86% of voters in the district say they support them to only 12% opposed, and 45% of voters say the GOP's opposition to them makes it less likely they'll support the party in the next election compared to only 21% who consider it a positive. That anger over the gun vote comes despite Barack Obama having only a 41% approval rating in the district with 51% of voters disapproving of him.
Some of you mocked me when i said that I thought Colbert Busch had smooth sailing ahead of her, but I continue to maintain that confidence.
Sure Sanford MIGHT still win, stranger things have happened, but I think all things considered this might be Colbert Busch's race to lose.
And if her famous brother makes an appearance a couple of times to campaign for her? Forget about it!
Stephen will be in town this weekend for a fundraiser for Elizabeth. I would be there if I had the money!
ReplyDeleteI did get two tickets to go to the debate she's doing with Sanford on Monday night.
I started reading Jenny Sanford's book but it was so dull that I skipped the scandal. She doesn't criticize him in the book but the facts show him to be a complete POS. He shouldn't even be near respectable people, much less representing them.
ReplyDeleteSanford doesn't think much about breaking the law. He was told, time after time, not to trespass at his former wife's house. He went there and was looking around, using his cell phone flashlight. His excuse is as lame as his "hiking the Appalachian Trail" excuse. He claimed that he didn't want his son to be watching the second half of the Super Bowl all alone.
ReplyDeleteHere's what's wrong with that lie. And, it's a lie. If the kid was watching TV, Sanford wouldn't have to go around in the dark with a flashlight. There would be some lights on. A politician has to be more creative and more convincing with his lies in order to hold office.
Hiding behind your children is a Sarah Palin trick. Sanford is a poor excuse for a man. He threw his kid under the bus in an effort to justify is lying. What a piece of crap he is.
DeleteMark Sanford Rubs It In Voters’ Faces By Using Argentine Flag Campaign Signs
ReplyDeleteMark Sanford’s reeling attempt at a political comeback didn’t need this, but it has come to the attention many that his campaign signs bear a striking resemblance to the Argentine flag.
http://www.politicususa.com/mark-sanford-rubs-voters-faces-argentine-flag-campaign-signs.html
Oh, Mark Sanford
ReplyDeleteFirst rule of politics: It’s never a good thing for your campaign when you take out a full-page ad in a local paper explaining why you trespassed on your ex-wife’s property. Like, ever.
But, that’s exactly what former South Carolina governor Mark Sanford did over the weekend in the Charleston Post and Courier. (Thanks to NBC’s Ali Weinberg for first surfacing the ad.)
Sanford, who until the allegations of trespassing hit last week was expected to win the May 7 special election primary for the 1st congressional district seat he held from 1996 until 2002, is clearly reeling and trying to put an end to the questions raised by his behavior.
What better way to solve that problem than a 1,200-plus word paid ad that not only rehashes — in painstaking detail — Sanford’s decision to go to his wife’s home when she was out of town to watch the Superbowl with one of his sons but also includes phrases like “I have faults and they are well chronicled”?
Not good — and a sign of the desperation that seems to be gripping Sanford in the wake of the trespassing revelations. The full ad is below.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2013/04/22/mark-sanford-tries-to-explain/
Biggest Victim of Last Week Was Mark Sanford, Says Mark Sanford
ReplyDeleteSad sex monster Mark Sanford took out a full-page ad in the Charleston Post & Courier on Sunday just to tell America: Mark Sanford knows that “it’s been a rough week.” It was a confusing time, these past days, and how about this media coverage last week, right? “The media does all of us a disservice in throwing these things to the front page as this paper did, before all the facts are known,” Sanford opines. Too true, too true. Accordingly, Mark Sanford would like a minute of your time to discuss how Mark Sanford is doing in the wake of these vicious attacks. Curiously, however, at no point is Mark Sanford ever talking about the Boston Marathon bombings.
South Carolina Soapbox transcribed his print ad, which you can read in full here.
He opens with a plaintive whine:
Read more at http://wonkette.com/513383/biggest-victim-of-last-week-was-mark-sanford-says-mark-sanford#dsK2v3AGE5mTeKQL.99
Mark Sanford is truly ridiculous
ReplyDeleteJust when you thought Mark Sanford had outdone himself, he raises the bar on his own ridiculousness. The lovelorn former South Carolina governor who is now seeking redemption by running for his old congressional seat took out a full-page ad in the Post and Courier of Charleston yesterday that can only be viewed as doubling down on stupidity.
Laurin Manning of the South Carolina Soapbox blog puts Sanford’s already epic tone deafness into perspective in her opening paragraph.
On Sunday, just days after the horrific Boston Marathon bombings and subsequent events that left three people dead, hundreds wounded, and a nation in shock — and just days after the explosion of a Texas fertilizer plant that killed thirteen people and injured hundreds more — Mark Sanford bought a full-page newspaper ad in the print version of Charleston’s Post & Courier to tell us just what a bad week *he* had.
Now, you may recall that last week court papers revealed that Sanford violated a no-trespass provision of his divorce agreement with Jenny Sanford. Well, Sanford reiterated what he said in his statement at the time. He did it “because, as a father, I didn’t think [his 14-year-old son] should sit alone and watch [the Super Bowl].” He went on to say in the newspaper ad, “There are always two sides to every story, and time will tell as to whether I made the right call in that instance as a father.”
How nice that Sanford is concerned about making the right call as a father today when he had no problem abandoning his four boys for his babe in Buenos Aires on Father’s Day weekend of 2009. I would be remiss if I didn’t mention that Sanford’s mistress, Maria Belen Chapur, is now his fiancee. I would also like to point out that the first time Chapur met two of Sanford’s sons was on stage in front of everyone at the runoff election victory party on April 2. The short-sleeved Sanford son doesn’t even look at her in the photo above.
Sanford then used the rest of the full-page ad to whine about his other campaign travails and beg for money. “I’d like to take all I have learned and apply it to fixing things, but I’m outgunned, outmanned, and outspent by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee [DCCC] and Nancy Pelosi’s PAC,” he wrote. Sanford also gives out his personal cell phone number so that he can rebut ethics allegations made against him made by the DCCC.
At no point in his 10-paragraph scribble does Sanford mention that part of the reason he had a “rough week” was because the National Republican Congressional Committee pulled the plug on his campaign. On May 7, the Palmetto State ought to pull the plug on Sanford’s political ambitions.
“If [Sanford] dealt treacherously with his wife before and the state and the people who worked for him,” asked Mac Brunson, senior pastor at the First Baptist Church in Jacksonville, Fla., “do you think character has changed that much that he’s not going to deal treacherously at some point in the future?” Good question. Given Sanford’s penchant for the ridiculous, it would only be a matter of time.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-partisan/wp/2013/04/22/mark-sanford-is-truly-ridiculous/
Mark Sanford's Bare-All Apology Tour Isn't Working
ReplyDeleteMark Sanford placed a full-page ad in the Charleston Post and Courier Sunday to explain why he was busted for trespassing on his ex-wife property, following many other explanations in his campaign for a political comeback. In his first ad in his race for South Carolina's first congressional district, Sanford said," I've experienced how none of us go through life without mistakes." He believed in a "God of second chances." We first saw Sanford's confessional tendencies in his press conference announcing this Argentinian affair that drove him from office in 2009. But his endless confessions work for Oprah's couch, not for politics. A new poll shows Elizabeth Colbert-Busch beating him 50 percent to 41 percent.
http://www.theatlanticwire.com/politics/2013/04/mark-sanfords-bare-all-apology-tour-isnt-working/64462/
Mark haz a sad. Any wagers on how soon his soulmate drops him?
ReplyDeleteMaybe he'll get a big endorsement from the shit stained queen.
ReplyDeleteI have a relative that lives in that SC district. She and her husband went to vote early. Elizabeth Colbert Busch was on the ballot twice, once as a democrat and once as the Working Families Party candidate. The worker could not answer the question on whether the votes would be combined. She voted democrat and is hoping for the best.
ReplyDelete