Sunday, January 18, 2015

The myth of gun ownership and home defense.

Courtesy of Politico:  

In 1992, Gary Kleck and Marc Getz, criminologists at Florida State University, conducted a random digit-dial survey to establish the annual number of defensive gun uses in the United States. They surveyed 5,000 individuals, asking them if they had used a firearm in self-defense in the past year and, if so, for what reason and to what effect. Sixty-six incidences of defensive gun use were reported from the sample. The researchers then extrapolated their findings to the entire U.S. population, resulting in an estimate of between 1 million and 2.5 million defensive gun uses per year. 

The claim has since become gospel for gun advocates and is frequently touted by the National Rifle Association, pro-gun scholars such as John Lott and conservative politicians. The argument typically goes something like this: Guns are used defensively “over 2 million times every year—five times more frequently than the 430,000 times guns were used to commit crimes.” Or, as Gun Owners of America states, “firearms are used more than 80 times more often to protect the lives of honest citizens than to take lives.” Former Republican Sen. Rick Santorum has frequently opined on the benefits of defensive gun use, explaining: “In fact, there are millions of lives that are saved in America every year, or millions of instances like that where gun owners have prevented crimes and stopped things from happening because of having guns at the scene.” 

It may sound reassuring, but is utterly false. In fact, gun owners are far more likely to end up like Theodore Wafer or Eusebio Christian, accidentally shooting an innocent person or seeing their weapons harm a family member, than be heroes warding off criminals.

The article points out a number of ways in which the criminologist misrepresented and extrapolated their data in order to reach such ridiculous numbers.

And then goes on to point out the following:

For example, guns were allegedly used in self-defense in 845,000 burglaries, according to Kleck and Getz. However, from reliable victimization surveys, we know that there were fewer than 1.3 million burglaries where someone was in the home at the time of the crime, and only 33 percent of these had occupants who weren’t sleeping. From surveys on firearm ownership, we also know that 42 percent of U.S. households owned firearms at the time of the survey. Even if burglars only rob houses of gun owners, and those gun owners use their weapons in self-defense every single time they are awake, the 845,000 statistic cited in Kleck and Gertz’s paper is simply mathematically impossible. 

Of course here at IM we have reported on the almost stunning number of times that guns purchased for protection instead killed or badly wounded the owner or a member of their families. 

Some of them are almost humorous, while others are tragically sad.

The facts are that owning a gun does NOT statistically make you safer than a non-gun owner, however it does dramatically increase the possibility that you yourself, or a loved one, will be shot with that firearm.

I have said it before, but it bears repeating, the best deterrent against burglary is a good dog.

And might I add that dogs are MUCH less likely to go off accidentally and take off somebody's finger. I am not saying it doesn't ever happen, just that it is much less likely.


9 comments:

  1. Anonymous4:57 AM

    My husband is a gadget guy. He just bought some led recessive light bulbs that are llinked to his phone and a remote button. If we hear an intruder we hit the phone or remote and all the house lights come on blazing and flashing.
    We don't own a gun.
    The led lights use less energy and last a long time.Hopefully they alarm the intruder enough that they take off hoping we have a really cool security system as well.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Anonymous5:50 AM

    We were robbed one time a couple years ago. We sleep upstairs with doors closed, so we never heard them. We assume they were teens, because they took a work computer and my purse, both in plain view. The computer and purse were found, along with all the credit cards, and the debit card, a few blocks away in a bush. The only thing they kept was a cute little leather wallet I had...I told my husband I should stake out the nearby middle school and look for it..they never even bought gas with the ATM card, so we think they were local kids.
    Now, we do not own a gun nor a dog, and no one got hurt. The only thing I lost was $40 in cash and a $20 wallet. Had we had a gun and heard them, who knows what may have happened.
    Side note: the robbery was our fault, as we had replaced an exterior door and not checked that the lock was secure. It was not, so they walked right in!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous1:35 PM

      Robbery was not your fault. Those who chose to enter your home illegally were at fault, and anything that happens to them as a result of this decision is too bad. Stop taking blame for others' bad intent.

      Delete
  3. Anonymous6:22 AM

    I have two big dogs that can be very intimidating to people they aren't familiar with. In reality, all it would take is for an intruder to mention "squirt bottle" or "frisbee time" and the pups would escort them to the jewelry case. But they have great barking/growling skills, they're big and VERY territorial so we never have problems. The delivery guys won't even leave their trucks. But they have never hurt anyone.

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  4. I have a 'yappy' chiweenie who barks at everything. She goes ballistic if she hears/smells/sees anything out of place. If someone broke in, she would alert us AND the intruder. Most burglars don't like any sized dog that alerts the homeowners because that just makes their 'job' more difficult and they don't know if we have a gun...or not.

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  5. Anonymous8:17 AM

    Get a dog? They are safer? You might tell that to your insurance company who will charge you extra on your home owner's insurance if you have a dog. And you might tell the 4.5 MILLION people bitten by dogs in this country each year.

    http://dogbitelaw.com/dog-bite-statistics/dog-bite-statistics

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  6. Anonymous8:50 AM

    The best protection against a burglar is a dog. Even security companies will tell you that. And as gun owner I can tell you that safety comes first. There is no way I would have a loaded weapon just laying around. I actually use, or should I say carry, a weapon often. If I am riding far out onto our ranch I carry one mainly because rattlesnakes or wild pigs. I also hunt and do target shooting( it's a hobby, I used to do competitive shooting), but there is no way I would leave a pistol, rifle, or shotgun laying around for one of my grandkiddos to pick up, or some stupid person that comes into my home. Our weapons are locked in the "safe" room we had built in this last home, then they are in locked gun safes with ammo in a different gun safe.

    My safety protocol is
    1) our dogs :)

    2) calling 911

    3) retreating to our safe room/w dogs

    4) waiting for the sheriffs to come

    ReplyDelete
  7. Anita Winecooler4:19 PM

    Yep, the best defense is a dog. Even when I was a single girl living in a cabin fifteen minutes off the main road, I put a huge dog bowl, went to Goodwill and got size 12 work boots, and a chalk board with a piece of chalk on the ledge. Painted on the board was "Honey, went to get Brutus his dog food, be back soon".
    There was a rash of burglaries but my empty cabin got passed over. One lady got fatally shot, but that was from a domestic dispute with her ex husband who didn't read the restraining order. I was raised in a house with a gun, and swore I'd never have one in my home, and I've stuck to that with pretty good results, so far.
    People used to snicker at my "home alarm", but I honestly think it saved me.

    ReplyDelete
  8. There are some cases where people who killed each other using the firearm they used to own. But that doesn't make one any safer who doesn't own gun. It is made for the safety of the people. It is up to people how they see it and take advantage of it.

    Regards,
    Jacky

    ReplyDelete

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