Friday, September 11, 2015

Nate Silver tells everybody to "keep calm" because Donald Trump is never going to be the Republican nominee for President.

Courtesy of the Business Insider: 

Nate Silver, the founder and editor-in-chief of the data-journalism website FiveThirtyEight, told an audience at an event in New York on Wednesday he didn't think Trump would be the nominee because he was not conservative enough. 

"I don't think that Donald Trump is very likely to win the nomination in part because he's not really a Republican," Silver told journalist Mo Rocca at the 92nd Street Y in Manhattan. 

"He's very far to the right on immigration, but he also wants socialized medicine," Silver said. "He wants to tax the rich, right? There's an alternate reality in which he decided to run as a Democrat instead — he wouldn't have to change his policy positions all that much."

Silver goes on to say this:  

"People haven't given [the candidates] more than two seconds' worth of attention ... Calm down — it's not a tennis match where you're going back and forth all the time," Silver said. "Keep calm."

Silver also claims that even if Trump were getting close to attracting enough votes to win the nomination that the GOP has ways to shut that whole thing down.  

"The nomination party isn't purely democratic — it's also party's process to bestow," he said. "The fact that the Republican Party establishment hates Donald Trump isn't a very good thing — the party has to give you the nomination."

You know I think almost all of us realize that these are inarguable facts, perhaps even some of those currently supporting Trump, but it is still almost impossible to pull our eyes away from the Trump train wreck even though we all kinda know it is nothing more than a distraction.

Besides for a liberal, watching how Trump draws out the racists from the shadows is both enlightening and helpful in deciding how to describe the Republican party moving forward.

37 comments:

  1. Anonymous12:16 PM

    I wonder if Mr. Silver understands just how crazy todays republican party has become. This is the political party of irrational people.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Anonymous12:17 PM

    Why we can know Sarah Palin is a yuggge fake when it comes to Reagan and 99% of her other crap. Trump is lousy entertainment. A poor excuse for media to use this summer but someone once said there's a sucker born every minute. Trump has returned from his abyss to let us know that is still happening.

    I can agree with Michael Reagan when he says: “My father would be appalled by what’s going on with this campaign.”
    http://www.mediaite.com/online/michael-reagan-my-father-would-be-appalled-by-donald-trump/

    ReplyDelete
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    1. Anonymous1:45 PM

      Thanks for linking to that article. Michael Reagan is the only GOP among Reagan's children. His criticism of Trump is very interesting.

      “Are you a Trump Republican,” he asked, “or are you a Reagan Republican? Because you cannot be both.”

      Delete
  3. Anonymous1:01 PM

    Yeah, no big surprise there. IMO Chump is a distraction to make Jeb! look good by comparison. The GOP wants the Hispanic vote; Chump disparages immigrants and Jeb! has a Mexican wife and he speaks Spanish. Good show for the masses.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Anonymous1:02 PM

    "Besides for a liberal, watching how Trump draws out the racists from the shadows is both enlightening and helpful in deciding how to describe the Republican party moving forward."
    Exactly- I hope he keeps on talking for months.

    ReplyDelete
  5. Anonymous1:10 PM

    Donald Trump isn't a politician. He's an entertainer. 

    In fact, he admitted to owning that descriptor when he was pressed to explain why he said rude things about fellow Republican presidential candidate Carly Fiorina's face. 

    “Many of those comments are made as an entertainer because I did 'The Apprentice' and it was one of the top shows on television,” he told Greta Van Susteren when he called into Fox on Thursday night. “Some comments are made as an entertainer and as everybody said, as an entertainer is a much different ball game.”....

    See
    http://www.cnn.com/2015/09/10/politics/donald-trump-carly-fiorina-looks-rolling-stone/index.html

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    1. Anonymous1:47 PM

      PALIN / Trump 2016

      Excuse America for not laughing.

      Delete
  6. Anonymous1:12 PM

    I hope he is right.

    Even though the USA survived the presidencies of Richard I am not a Crook Nixon, Ronnie Alzheimer Regan and Dick Cheney, I don't know if we would survive the dictatorship of Donald Egomaniac Trump.

    ReplyDelete
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    1. Anonymous2:17 PM

      Even though the USA survived the presidencies of Richard I am not a Crook Nixon, Ronnie Alzheimer Regan and Dick Puppeteer Cheney, I don't know if we would survive the dictatorship of Donald Egomaniac Trump.

      Delete
  7. Anonymous1:19 PM

    Even The CNN Staff Is Sick Of The Wall-To-Wall Trump Coverage

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/cnn-donald-trump-coverage_55f2cd17e4b077ca094ea2b5?0o1or

    ReplyDelete
  8. Even The CNN Staff Is Sick Of The Wall-To-Wall Trump Coverage...

    And there are HOW many more months to go....14?
    tRump will get bored, & take his ego-trip off the road.

    ReplyDelete
  9. Anonymous1:28 PM

    Donald Trump Embarrasses Himself During Remarks To Pro-Ukraine Conference

    ...The video speech, which was promoted as a huge event, was given in Kiev, and featured such Trump gems as, “It is a big problem… and it’s a problem that is taking place all over the world with respect to the United Sates. There is a lack of respect for our president and there is a lack of respect for the government itself.”

    In short, the speech was five minutes plus of Trump very slowly revealing that he knows less than nothing about foreign policy. In the bizarre timeline of the strange rise of Donald Trump, today’s fiasco is definitely a major highlight. After watching Trump look like a total amateur, it makes perfect sense why he conducts most of his media interviews by telephone.

    His performance was embarrassing. Trump had zero political skills and was unable to overcome the slightest obstacle. When the billionaire was taken out of his controlled environment, he was exposed.

    http://www.politicususa.com/2015/09/11/donald-trump-embarrasses-remarks-pro-ukrainian-conference.html

    ReplyDelete
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    1. Anonymous3:00 PM

      There is a lack of respect for our president
      -------------------------
      Says the blowhard that demanded the president show his birth certificate to prove his citizenship !

      Delete
  10. Anonymous1:33 PM

    O/T but here's the latest:

    Hillary Clinton Email Scandal Crumbles As Justice Department Says No Laws Were Broken

    http://www.politicususa.com/2015/09/11/hillary-clinton-email-scandal-crumbles-justice-department-laws-broken.html

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  11. Thanks Nate, but I wasn't worried anyway. Trump has been a fine gift to Democrats, liberals, and whatever thinking Republicans remain. He's the culmination of a party that pledged on election night 2008 to do nothing but obstruct a man who has turned out to be the finest president in my lifetime. By the not strangling the Tea Party in its infancy, Trump is precisely what they deserve. Like Romney couldn't buy the presidency in 2012, Trump will not either. We're not a citizenry that dumb ...yet.

    ReplyDelete
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    1. Anonymous1:49 PM

      I wish I could "fan" you, dvlaries!
      -- beer drinking lady in Oregon

      Delete
    2. Anonymous2:19 PM

      Thanks Nate, but I wasn't worried anyway. Trump has been a fine gift to Democrats, liberals, and whatever five or ten thinking Republicans who remain. He's the culmination of a party that pledged on election night 2008 to do nothing but obstruct a man who has turned out to be the finest president in my lifetime. By the not strangling the Tea Party in its infancy, Trump is precisely what they deserve. Like Romney couldn't buy the presidency in 2012, Trump will not either. We're not a citizenry that dumb ...yet.

      Delete
    3. Anonymous2:20 PM

      "We're not a citizenry that dumb ...yet.'

      Did you forget GWB - 2000 & GWB - 2004?

      Delete
    4. Anonymous2:51 PM

      2:20pm

      The particular political power brokers that wrangled two terms for GWB, complete with vote manipulation, have been effectively neutered, that's why they are currently freaking out over the current state of GOP affairs. The GOP is split, fractured and no amount of money and power is going to put it back together again. Trump has sealed that deal and opened the door to basically anyone running as a Dem and being elected. I love it!

      Delete
    5. Anonymous3:15 PM

      Thank SCOTUS and Jeb! for GWB. He really wasn't elected.

      Delete
  12. Anonymous1:47 PM

    In other news: former Texas Gov. Rick Douchenozzle has folded his 2016 presidential campaign becauae because "nobody wants a douchenozzle as president".

    Thanks, Rick!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous2:19 PM

      not even a bespectacled douchenozzle

      Delete
  13. Anonymous1:53 PM

    Donald Trump Proves Once Again That Empathy Is For Losers

    http://crooksandliars.com/2015/09/donald-trump-proves-once-again-empathy

    ReplyDelete
  14. Anonymous1:56 PM

    Rick Perry Drops Out Of Republican 2016 Race

    He announced his decision in a speech to the Texas Eagle Forum where he expressed his belief in conservative principals as well as in his Christian faith.

    "That is why today I am suspending my campaign for the presidency of the United States," Perry said. "We have a tremendous field of candidates – probably the greatest group of men and women – I step aside knowing our party is in good hands."

    http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/rick-perry-drops-out-2016

    ReplyDelete
  15. Anonymous2:13 PM

    He'll run third party. That "loyalty pledge" that he signed doesn't mean a thing to him and his giant ego. That will definitely be better than even if he got the nomination because it will split the party and the Dems could run ANYONE and win in 2016. I love it.

    ReplyDelete
  16. Anonymous2:14 PM

    Meet The 25 House Democrats Who Betrayed Peace By Joining Republicans In Opposing Iran Deal

    http://www.politicususa.com/2015/09/11/names-25-democrats-joined-republicans-opposing-iran-deal.html

    ReplyDelete
  17. Considering the remaining field of GOPidiots, that's not much comfort.

    ReplyDelete
  18. Randall3:19 PM

    The Trump "effect" is similar to the Palin "effect" in that they both confuse "popularity" with "morbid fascination".

    ReplyDelete
  19. Anonymous6:17 PM

    Hat Tip to you for using "has ways to shut the whole thing down!" LOL

    Tom, in FL
    "What am I doing here anyway?"

    ReplyDelete
  20. Anonymous7:19 PM

    Trump is doing a bang up job of ruining the GOP brand for the next election. He's turned the debates and everything they are against into a true life reality TV show sucking up all the oxygen on every mainstream news show. As hard as the media and his opponents have tried they can't stop him or figure out how because they are giving him completely FREE air time! Even Jindahl bows down to him by trying to fight back (but that's the only way Jindahl can get publicity). Trump has managed to pull off his best PR marketing ploy of ALL time. His last name fits because he has trumped everyone else in that department. The only reason he can't fall asleep so quick is because he's laughing so hard! #LoveTrumpLOL

    ReplyDelete
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    1. Anonymous7:47 PM

      Everyone from Rachael Maddow to us here at IM predicted this would be the best clown show ever. Popcorn sales must be soaring! No need to watch any Real Housewives ever. This is way more better than I ever imagined and Trump is on the news 24/7. He pretty much has the media and Republicans by the cajones. So. Far. It's going to be so much fun to see if he becomes their candidate. And it will be SO much fun to watch Sarah Palin get butt hurt again!

      Delete
  21. This posting made me think back to the jawdropping information I learned from the book "Untold History of the United States."

    I wasn't born as yet, but I know all about Presidents and Vice Presidents going all the way back to Washington and John Adams.

    But in the mid 40's, the man who should have succeeded Franklin D. Roosevelt, was HENRY WALLACE. Perhaps you've never heard of him either.

    The Democratic Party did not want another FDR, which Wallace was going to be, in spades...and he had the backing of almost ALL the population of the U.S. at that time.

    Lo and behold, some total unknown, know nothing named Harry Truman was sneaked in as the nominee, instead...all via backroom cutthroat politicking.

    Read the story for yourselves...it rivals the sinking feeling you get, when you consider what JFK's second term may have been like, or if RFK had not been assassinated.

    What Silver reports here, is correct: the PARTY will decide who is nominated, not the people.

    ReplyDelete
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    1. Anonymous9:53 AM

      Are you aware that Truman was FDR's vice president? He was hardly a know nothing or an unknown... actually HE WAS THE PRESIDENT OF THE US at the time....succeeding FDR when he died in april of 1945.

      Maybe you should read a bit more carefully......

      Delete
  22. Anonymous10:43 PM

    Trumps ego would never allow him to accept the GOP's finagling the nomination to Ben Carson. Oh hell no. He'll run as an independent just to piss them off. Pledge shmedge.
    ~Canuck~

    ReplyDelete
  23. Anonymous8:26 AM

    And speaking of Trump-the-Chump, y'all might be interested in this documentary movie, made 25 years ago but blocked by Trump -- but now available free online.

    http://trumpthemovie.com/watch

    ReplyDelete
  24. Anonymous9:59 AM

    Trump does not WANT to be the POTUS.... get it??? He wants the attention that he is receiving now and the media $$$$ that go with it for the big networks.... Trump knows nothing about governing, he was NEVER elected to anything... Trump knows nothing about foreign policy.... Trump does not want to have his money put in a blind trust and Trump does not want his personal life to be put under a microscope....Trump inherited a NY based real estate empire and proceeded to lose large chunks of it..... So LET'S GET REAL HERE... This is all a SHOW...with some possible other motives...... Hmmm

    ReplyDelete
  25. Seriously, Y'all. - http://juanitajean.com/seriously-yall/
    "trumpery"

    Juanita Jean http://juanitajean.com/

    "trumpery" really is a word
    http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/trumpery

    ReplyDelete

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