The Iowa poll the political world has been eagerly awaiting is finally here — and it has great news for Donald Trump.
On Saturday evening, Bloomberg Politics and the Des Moines Register released the results of their final Iowa caucus poll, which is conducted by by widely-respected pollster Ann Selzer and has been extremely accurate in recent years.
For the Republican race, the poll found Trump in first among likely caucusgoers with 28 percent, Ted Cruz in second with 23 percent, and Marco Rubio in third with 15 percent. Ben Carson is in fourth with 10 percent, and no other candidate gets more than 5 percent support.
On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton is ahead with 45 percent among likely caucusgoers, followed by Bernie Sanders with 42 percent. Martin O'Malley is very far back, with just 3 percent.
According to Politico Selzer is the go to pollster in Iowa:
The poll, conducted by legendary Iowa pollster J. Ann Selzer, has long been influential and accurate: Selzer’s surveys predicted victories by Barack Obama and Mike Huckabee in 2008, and foresaw Rick Santorum’s late surge in 2012.
Apparently the poll also demonstrated a slight surge for Trump, with no negative impact resulting from his skipping of the last Fox News debate, and a more secure hold on supporters for Hillary.
Well the caucuses are tomorrow, so I guess we will see how accurate these poll results are after the numbers come in.
I saw that snow was predicted. That might just him.
ReplyDeletethat should read -- hurt him. The snow might keep his nutty voters away. Although -- they do seem very enthusiastic.
DeleteIt has been said that poor turnout favours Republican candidates. Does this still apply when it's a Republican primary? If so, which candidate in that primary tomorrow is "more Republican"? What scale would one measure that on?
DeleteSaw Des Moines check in earlier.
ReplyDeleteWonder if it was Boopsie. HAH!
You so own her, Gryph!
If anyone is interested Bet365 is taking bets on the Iowa caucuses. Even though Trump has a bigger lead over Cruz than Hillary does over Bernie, they both pay the same. 1.44 to win. E.g. $90 on Trump (or Hillary) pays $130.
ReplyDeleteYesterday, Trump credited Falwell with his recent jump in the polls. Must be why he was on stage with Trump and Sarah wasn't.
ReplyDeleteOne of the pond scum commented yesterday that he/she didn't expect $arah on the trail with Donald.
DeleteGee, I wonder WHY. Maybe there is some semblance of brain in that gray matter.
She is in IA - looks like she flew commercial. The Today Show didn't send for her in a private plane? Maybe she thinks she can barge in on some of Trumps press today.
DeleteAt least Trump has some smarts in not including the idiot from Wasilla, Alaska on his campaign trail!
DeleteHe actually figured out that she brought him nothing but scorn. Hopefully, also the kiss of death as to his winning the presidency.
I guess he just said that Sarah will be on the Today Show stumping for him. He acknowledged her but is not including her on the campaign trail. She tries to make it all about her and not much about him. His ego doesn't like not being "all" about him. He brought her on board and now he has to deal with the consequences. If she brings in a few votes, great, but don't steal his limelight.
DeleteHe's probably already found out that she doesn't take instructions well from anyone and that she is far from being a team player.
DeleteHis soul is as black as hers - both nasty humans (if you can call them that!).
Don't watch The Today show in the morning as it will only bring up their viewership numbers.
DeleteInstead, view Good Morning American! It's a much better show anyway!
In other news that make the pee pond inhabitants look like idiots..yes I know it is not much of a stretch. The 13 year old German girl who said she was kidnapped and raped by an immigrant is saying she lied. She didn't want to go home because she got in trouble at school. The pond has been screaming about this for a while now and it caused a violent clash in Germany.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jan/31/teenage-girl-made-up-migrant-claim-that-caused-uproar-in-germany?CMP=twt_a-world_b-gdnworld
Mission Accomplished?
DeleteThe puddle is a guilty pleasure of mine. Saw this today over morning coffee and hooted. He is one that keeps track of Gryph as well.
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MJS • 15 hours ago
Trig truther scum attacks me via my son comment at The Federalist
"hey, is your father the moron, m joseph sheppard, who writes the multiple pro srah palin blogs and tweets?
i feel sorry for you bro, but you picked up some of his worst attributes--mainly using 1000 words when 100 will do."
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hahahahaha
Ha..I enjoy watching them pontificate and wallow as well. They are so stupid.
DeleteThose of us who have noticed the penchant for misspelling by people of a certain political party, have had an epiphany:
ReplyDeleteTrump doesn't mean GREAT...he intends on forcing all Americans to once again shred their own CHEESE!
Who wore it best poll - Tina Fey 87% to Sarah Palin 13% on Alaska news
ReplyDeletehttp://www.ktva.com/bristol-palin-wants-to-know-who-wore-it-better-sarah-palin-or-tina-fey-841/
Such a bad idea Brancy's part but they don't seem to know any better. What is it going to take for them to realize that if they just shut UP, let things slide, quit making up stories (PTSD), that they might not be half the joke they are?
DeleteFamous for being infamous. Too late; their lives and reputations are shot.
She has turned the poll off and will not show the results...ha ha ha ha
DeleteI feel kind of badly for the bimbos. They try something that seems like a good idea, and it blows up in their face, and they're so afraid of criticism, they take it off and act like Jesus wanted it for his mancave.
DeleteHUMBOLDT, IA—After making sure to douse every home, farm, and business located in the municipality with gasoline, retreating Clinton campaign staffers reportedly set the central Iowa town of Humboldt ablaze Friday to stem the advance of Bernie Sanders volunteers. “Once we received word the Sanders campaign had begun canvassing in nearby Fort Dodge, we only had a matter of hours to burn everything to the ground,” said communications director "
ReplyDeletehttp://www.theonion.com/article/retreating-clinton-campaign-torches-iowa-town-slow-52261
I bet this will get Sarah all wee wee'd up tomorrow. Clinton secret emails, Clinton Dicktation, and now random arson?
Bernie's Healthcare plan will virtually eliminate bankruptcies from medical bills. Hillary's won't!
DeleteBernie finally admitted that he would raise taxes on the middle class to pay for his health plan.
DeleteNancy Pelosi responded that he will not get any help from the Democrats to raise taxes.
Article was on politicususa a few days ago.
The tax increase would be lower than your current insurance premiums - overall cost savings for insurance.
DeleteI don't see where Donald Trump would win any of these races. The media has been building him up since day one. Surely voters aren't that stupid?
ReplyDeleteThe guy is a first-class jerk and has a horrible reputation throughout our country and the world! Plus, he's a Republican! God forbid!
Have you seen the Donald Trump/Charles Manson gif that compares their similar facial expressions? I can easily see this as a 3-way with Sarah Palin.
ReplyDeletehttps://pbs.twimg.com/tweet_video/CaECWxGUkAEzNch.mp4
Please forgive me. Is the Donald a Trojan horse for the R's or the D's? What will happen when his ratings go down? we may have a R and D and I prez ticket. Bloomberg is looking into it. bloom bloom
ReplyDeleteHey Modern Day Ozzie and Harriet in politics! hahaha
ReplyDeleteTrump has once again today talked about wanting Ivanka to have her baby in Iowa. On 1/28, during his vets' thing, he said she was two weeks from having her baby. We'll see if that happens. I couldn't believe how he used the pregnancy, saying "we" had already picked out a hospital and how he "really" wanted the Iowa birth to happen. WTF? He is such a freak. Even if Chelsea were near her due date, Hillary would never even think of exploiting her daughter and grandchild that way. Well, if Ivanka was two weeks away from giving birth, why would Donald be okay with her flying around the country for him? Everything about Ivanka's due date online says "spring" and it says that she was now entering or in her 7th month at the beginning of January. But Donald says she is due the 10th or 11th. We'll see how soon that delivery happens.
ReplyDeleteIf there's any ass, he'll kiss it. Today, he took out his family bible (get your tissues ready) that his dead mother handed down to him, that, and Jerry Faldwell Jr's endorsement are two of his most cherished possessions, he reads that bible every day. Cause she hid bearer bonds in it and he's gotta clip them to cash them in to pay off Faldwell's progeny for the hugs.
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