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| Image courtesy of Esquire. |
As of this post polls are closed in both Ohio and North Carolina.
Ohio is a winner take all state with 143 delegates up for grabs for the Democrats, and North Carolina splitting its 107 delegates between Sanders and Clinton.
In half an hour the polls close in Florida, Illinois, and Missouri.
Florida is also a winner take all state, and the biggest prize of the night, with 214 delegates available for the winning Democrat, and 156 from Illinois and 71 from Missouri to be split between the two.
If Hillary takes both Florida and Ohio, like she did in 2008, she will gobble up 357 delegates, and, assuming she wins or does well in the remaining states, stands to increase her lead over Bernie by quite a significant margin.
On the Republican side polls show Kasich either slightly ahead or tied with Donald Trump for that state's 66 delegates, but Trump is far ahead in every other contest.
If both Kasich and Rubio fail to win in their states it is a good bet that one, if not both, will drop out, leaving Ted Cruz to continue battling the Donald for the nomination.
So the GOP nominee is going to be wither Trump or Cruz huh?
Good job Republican party, good job.
I will keep updating this post as the results come in.
Stay tuned.
Update: Trump and Hillary are projected to win Florida tonight according to MSNBC. That is a huge win for Clinton, and essentially the end of the trial for Rubio.
Update 2: Hillary is also now projected to win North Carolina. That's two for two so far.
Update 3: As predicted Marco Rubio just suspended his campaign.
Update 4: Hillary has now won Ohio, another winner take all state. This makes Sanders path to the nomination all but an impossibility at this point.
Update 5: Okay so John Kasich just won his home state of Ohio, and he is the only one who will likely beat Donald Trump tonight. But considering how few delegates he has earned so far does that really matter at this point?
Update 6: Trump wins Illinois. Still too close to call for the Democrats, though Hillary has a comfortable lead.
Update 7: Hillary wins Illinois.
Update 8: Now Hillary has won Missouri so that is five for five tonight.
I think it is clearly time for Bernie to pack up his campaign and make way for the our Democratic nominee to finish the primary process and prepare to do battle against Donald Trump.
Trump may be the most aggressively vicious presidential candidate that we have ever seen, and Hillary is going to need everybody's support to get through the rest of 2016.
Update 9: The story of this night.
They’ll tell the story of tonight 🎶 pic.twitter.com/HP9X0yRb1L
— Jenna Lowenstein (@just_jenna) March 16, 2016
She's winning really big in FLA. She's winning so far in North Carolina. Even if Bernie takes the rest (which I doubt), she still comes away with more delegates than BS tonight.
ReplyDeleteDonald Trump will never win. Ted Cruz is dangerous and people don't like the guy. So it doesn't matter. A democrat will win. Yay!
ReplyDeleteOT dRumpf>
Deletehttp://www.politicususa.com/2016/03/15/lions-guard-group-forms-bust-heads-trump-disbands.html
How can you possibly think Trump can;t win?
DeleteHe definately can win, and he might just win. You better start facing that reality.
Trump won't win.
DeleteGuess we will find out come election day. Trump has a much better chance than you all think.
DeleteMake me proud, Ohio!
ReplyDeleteQ
Goodbye, Rubio Tuesday!
ReplyDeleteLolz!
DeleteWho could hang a delegate on you?
DeleteDave
Texas
Good one, Dave!
Deletehahaha
DeleteLove this blog!
Anonymous 4:07 PM, Anonymous5:25 PM,
DeleteThat's too funny. You guys need to continue
When you change with every new day
DeleteStill, Reince will miss you
DeleteGood riddance to Robot-Rubio.
DeleteHe will NEVER and can NEVER be a Barack Obama.
She's looking good in Ohio. (Fingers crossed.)
ReplyDeleteRubio just announced the suspension of his campaign!!!
ReplyDeleteHe'll no doubt seek consolation in Alice Wainwright Park in case anyone wants to join him.
DeleteKasich will win Ohio by the slimmest margins--not enough to raise red flags....understand?
ReplyDelete~Canuck~
Doesn't matter-he gets all the marbles idd he wind by one vote.
DeleteOhio's proportional for the Dems, winner-take-all is only for the GOP.
ReplyDeleteHillary cleaned up in Florida. She can probably thank that asshole from Unibrowvision for openly attacking her so relentlessly but handling Sanders with kid gloves. Anybody watching that night could see which candidate is made of the right stuff.
ReplyDeleteUnibrowvision? Really?
Deletelol ...I was thinking... Unibrowvision?...Is that a new network? Then I removed the 'brow' GOT IT!
DeleteDiehard Dem as I am, I did tear up listening to Rubio's speech.
ReplyDeleteHere, have a tissue and a beer.
DeleteWhy? He is now free to go to foam parties again.
DeleteKasich win in Ohio increases chance of contested convention. Pure chaos and possible third party run. GOP is in total meltdown. Seven years of obstruction has really blown up in their faces!
DeleteI guess I'm too old-school for you guys. I'm a lot like Chris Matthews. This election stuff means something larger to me than just the candidate I happen to be for, and I don't simply think of everyone on the other side as a-holes because I disagree with them on some or many things. When Bob Dole spoke at Nixon's funeral I teared up then, too. There is something that comes out at times that shows the decency of politicians on both sides. There's something heartrending about certain speeches, tonight by some on the GOP side. I'm originally from Ohio and I don't want Kasich as pres but I was moved by his speech, and I was Rubio's. I hope Rubio endorses him tomorrow.
DeleteI understand that, 5:51 PM, but good orators are what gave us Reagan.
Delete6:29
DeleteHow can you omit Dubya from the list of great orators? Shame on you!
Hillary wins Ohio!!!! It's over!!
ReplyDeleteYea for Hillary Clinton!!! Our next POTUS!
ReplyDeleteLooks like it's going to be Trump and Hillary, which means she will be our next president. Hurray, more of the same. Oligarchy, anyone?
ReplyDeleteYou know, I'll take a Clinton Presidency any day over the Trump fascism, and so should you.
DeleteHurray for President Hillary! So excited!
DeleteYou know very little about the Stateswoman she is. President Hillary Rodham Clinton> going forward will change this country for the better of us all. She cares.
Delete5:06 PM Since Barack Obama was elected, the stock market has doubled. Many of our Military aged men and women are serving in safer places, more of our citizens now have healthcare, and dolts like you, who offer no alternatives, are still crying foul.
DeleteOT 5:06 THIS TOO>
Deletehttp://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/barack-obama-2016-vulgar-violence_us_56e83e30e4b065e2e3d76787
Hillary is going to demolish "tiny fingers' Trump.
DeleteToo many people don't really know what kind of damage this stateswoman has done in other parts of the world. They don't seem to know what kind of backwards ideas she has on issues here. ANY remotely progressive idea she has had came directly from pressure on the left-the much reviled Berners. The polls show her losing to TRump. They show Bernie winning in a match-up. They have consistently shown those results. She has been shown to be a liar in too many cases to call it "a slip up" or "misspeaking". Have fun kids. BTW-everything I wrote here was a fact that you can look up for yourselves. I don't deal in name calling and emotion. Just facts.
DeleteWhat a bunch of crap. Head-to-heads at this point mean absolutely nothing. That's a fact. Check 538 if you don't believe it.
DeleteHillary has been fighting for Civil Rights as long as Bernie.
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/3/4/1495575/-Hillary-Clinton-in-the-Civil-Rights-Era
I am going to write Bernie on my ballot in June.
DeleteI am sick of having no vote for my candidate by the time the primaries come around.
And fuck those superdelegates. We should do away with that shit.
In fact, we should do away with the electoral college and all this primary shit. Winner take all my ass.
If Bernie got 49% all along and Hillary 51%, then they should both be on the ballot to choose from. Or both go to the convention.
I'll tell you this. All of the youth voters who are going to be denied voting for Bernie will not vote for Hillary. They just won't bother to vote at all. So the Democrats will have shot themselves in the foot. And that ass Julian Castro is not going to draw enough votes to make up for that loss.
This whole process sucks.
I wonder what Rubio will find to do to avoid having to work in the Senate.
ReplyDeleteWhat he always does: just blow it off as 'boring.' And since he isn't running again, he will be permanently AWOL from DC to spend time with his family and spend his generous salary while cold calling Wall Street to offer his wealth of knowledge and lovely smile. LOSER!
DeleteIt's a wonderful day in the neighborhood!!! Felt kind of tickled pink with Rubio's God filled concession speech.
ReplyDeleteGuess god didn't care
DeleteLike $arah?
DeleteLet's hope God cares even less about Slippery Ted and "moderate" but evil Kasich. Trump will have to fall on his own petard. Two Corinthians never endorsed him.
Delete@ 5:52 PM. Exactly like that. :
DeleteWell, his career is over. Couldn't even win his own state. Certainly won't be re-elected to the Senate if he ran. Voters didn't like him effectively quitting his job to campaign.
DeleteSo long, Rubio. Couldn't happen to a more deserving guy.
All my dreams are coming true.No more twerp Rubio telling me what a great leader Reagan was.You little pissant he was as worthless as you are,May your face never blight my video feed again.
ReplyDeleteLike above^
Delete"When you change with every new day
Still I'm NEVER gonna miss you...
5:54PM:
ReplyDeleteWhat do you mean by "evil Kasich"? Please elaborate. :-)
He is bought and paid for by ALEC. He gutted unions in Ohio, has undermined public education, tried to sell off (privatize) the Ohio Turnpike, voted against reproductive rights every chance he gets, closed Planned Parenthood centers, supported shady charter schools, and on and on. He sounds reasonable; it is as much as act as Trump's bombast.
DeleteThat's true about reproductive rights. Faith 2 Action's freaky Janet Folger Porter is a Clevelander who moved to Florida years back and made outlawing abortion her main focus (as well, anti-gay and pushing for Christian homeschooling), and she never let go of Cleveland/Ohio and worked her sick influence in the state, then moved back to OH and is now running for state rep. She's the one behind that ridiculous so-called heartbeat bill. She's had a lot to do with Ohio becoming more socially conservative.
DeleteGood night for the millionaires and billionaires. Not so much for the rest of us, the 99 percenters.
ReplyDeleteJust remember that FDR was a "one percenter", and that didn't stop him from doing a lot of good for our country.
DeleteSo was JFK. Many of the 1 per centers know they could not have had the opportunity in another country. They enjoy and thrive by giving back.
DeleteOT-http://thinkprogress.org/politics/2016/03/15/3760639/ohio-poll-worker-gun/
ReplyDeleteThere are no winner-take-all states in the Democratic primaries, they're all proportional.
ReplyDeletetRump is the match up many of us (me) wanted. It's almost here. Don't be scarred, tRump cannot be president of the USA.
ReplyDeleteOr you're fucked.
One or the other for sure.
True that.
DeleteJesus, I just wish you could spell.
DeleteSocialized education, what can you do?
DeleteYou would prefer non-socialized education?
DeleteI had a sinking feeling tonight, hearing that Democrats were voting Republican to mess with the voting, before the votes came in, after Hillary lost Michigan that this was 2008 all over again.
ReplyDeleteI am so happy that Hillary has won FL, NC and Oh. I imagine since parts of IL are under a tornado watch it might take some time for the results.
As for Trump, GOP you created, now we have to deal with it, but the next president will be a woman. Now I guess the pundits are going to change the story about having to win Ohio to be president.
Trump will beat Hillary.
DeleteBullshit, 10:53. Trump will barely win among Republicans.
DeleteTrump had best watch his back as the GOP elite really despises him.
Delete5:15....."Trump will barely win among Republicans."......
DeleteUhhhhh, have you been paying attention to the primaries?
Uhhhhh, yes I have. Have you?
DeleteHe's been winning states, but he hasn't passed the 50% mark for voters in any of them. So, I'll say again that he will barely win among Republicans.
Sarah and Trump have accomplished their mission-destroy the GOP.
ReplyDeleteI hope they don't take down the USA with them.
Even if elected I don't think he'll be in office for very long, but he will have killed the GOP so for that we'll be thankful :-)
DeleteIf they did, it would serve every last one of the citizenry that drank their tainted kool-aid to get EXACTLY what they voted for.
DeleteOhio is not "winner take all" for the Democratic party. Delegates are awarded proportionally by congressional district.
ReplyDelete
ReplyDeleteTHIS image is what most bugged the hell out of me tonight when the fat orange mess made his post-win speech. Trump was saying a big f-you to the female reporter who was manhandled by his campaign head, to all decent reporters who have stood by her, and to all women who are mistreated. Not to mention to evidence, facts. Trump continues to deny what happened.
http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2016/03/15/donald_trump_brings_controversial_campaign_manager_onstage_with_him.html
I succeeded in missing Trumpvision's Home Shopping Hour tonight. Anything new for sale today? Lamb chops? Antacids? Argyle socks? Spittoons? Magazines with excellent words?
DeleteBernie fans, come into to Big Tent. It's time to unite against Trump.
ReplyDeleteSuper Sweep for Hillary! MO & IL are hers! I guess The Bern knew that since he went to Arizona tonight.
ReplyDeleteSweet! Let's all unite with Hillary.
ReplyDelete@Anonymous 9:37 PM
DeleteSweet! Let's all unite with Hillary.
*******************
I agree, let's get behind Hillary, and let's win this thing!
I have been checking the fb pages of all the newspapers throughout our great land on this Donald Trump problem we are experiencing. The hate from his supporters is astonishing. It's like the internet is the tower of babel. Everyone has a voice which is good, but the negativity is beyond belief. Donald Trump is the lightening rod right now and seems to be building momentum. I have no answer, and right now frankly, I feel depressed. Immoral minority, in times like this I come to you for solace. And I watch Samantha Bee.
ReplyDelete9:40 -- Right there with you: Maybe we should stop looking at comments... if knowledge is power, ignorance is bliss.
DeleteHaley Barbour called in to speak with Katie Couric and she asked him what he thinks the Trump thing is all about. He said he's the people's way of flipping Washington the bird, that Trump's a giant middle finger. We all know he has small hands and a small wienie, but Trump does make for a good disgusting gesture.
ReplyDeleteOT, but I just read that Todd was in surgery for 6 hours. Sarah must have known right off that things were serious yet she stayed in Florida.
ReplyDeleteThe fact that Dems came out in OH to F*** drumpf says a lot about what could happen in the general if he is the R nominee. A LOT of people just are NOT going to go in for the con artist. Talking about crossing over the other way, even if only 5% of R's cross over to vote D in the general (and I think it will be higher if he is their nominee) that will be YUUUGE. We have to work for it and there will be some violence but it is there to be had.
ReplyDeleteBTW, as someone who has been looking at medical jobs in Canada and Australia, I feel good about tonight.
ReplyDeleteThe numbers speak for themselves:
72.5% Bernie won home state of Vermont
17.1% Cruz won home state of Texas
11.1% Kasich won home state of Ohio
1.6 % is Hillary's lead in home state of Illinois, 99% precincts counted
Lost his home state by 18.8% Rubio
Trump's home state of New York hasn't voted yet
How do those numbers speak for themselves?
DeleteAnyone who thinks NY will go to Trump
Deletein the general is nutty. That's Clinton's terrain for sure.
NY will go to Trump in the Republican primary. It will go to Clinton in the General.
DeleteIf it wasn't God's plan for Rubio to be President this year (quote from his suspension-of-campaign speech) then was it God's plan for Obama to be President? and perhaps for Clinton to be President?
ReplyDeleteThanks for the updates. Appreciate coming here and seeing all the results. I watched MSNBC for awhile but couldn't handle the Trump and Cruz demagoguery and had to turn it off.
ReplyDeleteGryphen said "I think it is clearly time for Bernie to pack up his campaign and make way for the our Democratic nominee to finish the primary process and prepare to do battle against Donald Trump." NO, we need Bernie to keep pulling Hillary to the left. Everything , the media, big money, etc. is conspiring to push her to the center. I just voted in Florida for him even tho I've always intended to vote Hillary for President. I do expect Bernie to give a huge concession speech to his followers to put his weight behind her, eventually. I trust that he is a good man.
ReplyDeleteBernie is a loser and always has been, an angry old pasty guy that can't do anything but fling his arms about in anger.
DeleteHillary has always been "to the left."
DeleteI hope you're right about Sanders urging his supporters to vote for Clinton (as Clinton did whole-heartedly for Obama in 2008).
Anon @ 3:15 Well said!
DeleteAnon @4:36 If you see a politician who has lived with an altruistic desire to help politics become more fair and just, you see a man who cannot win in a "I got mine, now go f*ck off" society. For those who share his ideals he is someone to admire and though he will not win the nomination, he is not a loser in the sense you imply by any means. We will vote democratic and will keep on working for the good of all to the best of our abilities.
If she has so many followers like you 4:36am, why would I want to vote for her?
DeleteIt's people like 4:36am that will guarantee that people like me, Bernie supporters, will NOT vote for their candidate come election day.
It will swell my heart to witness their whiny asses screaming "I'm moving to Canada" when Trump kicks Hillary's ass.
Oh yes, gonna be sweet.
Watching the right is like watching the wind blow. Their voices sway with the wind. Their souls run shallow. Their beliefs are hollow. Their faith does not run deep. They just don't get it.
ReplyDeleteI encourage everyone to read Jim's latest Stonekettle Kitchen entry "'Fraidy Cat" on Gryph's blog roll to the left.
ReplyDeleteHillary won't beat Kasich, but Bernie would.
ReplyDeletehttp://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster#2016-general-election
None of these head-to-head general election polls mean anything right now.
DeleteWho cares? Bernie is done. Any hypothetical match-ups with him are irrelevant now.
DeleteGryphen, I haven't had time to read all the comments so someone may have already mentioned this to you: There are no winner-take-all primaries or caucuses on the D side. Only on the R side.
ReplyDeleteThis is a good page to follow all the primaries and how the delegates are awarded: http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/us/elections/primary-calendar-and-results.html?_r=2