President Obama’s strong approval rating is bolstering Democratic chances of holding the White House, according to a closely followed election model.
Moody’s Analytics is forecasting that the Democratic nominee, who is widely expected to be Hillary Clinton, will win the presidency in November over presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump.
“President Obama’s approval rating has crossed over the important 50 percent threshold for the first time in almost four years,” said Dan White, a Moody’s economist who oversees the model.
Moody’s latest model shows for the third straight month that the Democratic nominee would take 332 electoral votes compared with 206 for the Republican nominee. The model has predicted every election correctly since it was created in 1980.
Well this is good news for the Democrats.
However, not to be Debbie Downer here, I think it important to remember that this election cycle has literally defied every pundit's predictions since it started.
Having said that I think that Hillary's chances are quite strong just so long as we maintain the kind of turnout we enjoyed in the last two presidential election cycles.
And you can predict THAT will be what the Republicans will work to prevent right up until November.