Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton leads Republican rival Donald Trump by 12 percentage points among likely voters, her strongest showing this month, according to a Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll released on Tuesday.
The Aug. 18-22 poll showed that 45 percent of voters supported Clinton, while 33 percent backed Trump ahead of the Nov. 8 election.
Clinton, the former U.S. secretary of state, has led Trump, a New York businessman, throughout most of the 2016 campaign. But her latest lead represents a stronger level of support than polls indicated over the past few weeks. Earlier in August, Clinton's lead over Trump ranged from 3 to 9 percentage points in the poll.
I am going to go out on a limb and predict that this is essentially how things are going to go from here on out. You know with a few weird outliers and false polls showing up here and there.
There is virtually no way for Trump to pick up any new voters (After all how many racists can there really be in this country?) so that leaves it up to Hillary to attract the independents and disenfranchised Republicans to beef up her numbers even more.
And once again let me remind everybody that this is good news, but ONLY if we do not get complacent and think our vote is not important.
It is, VERY important.
If Melania lied and is not going to give the immigration interview, speech or whatever she promised... I hope Hillary is ahead by 25 points next week.
ReplyDeleteIt is egregious that anyone would allow her to get by with that. Trump is too slow making himself clear about what the hey his policy would be. He has how long until the vote? About 2 months?
He is inept and not at all able to handle what he has taken on.
Now Kellyanne has signed up to make a fool of herself. Any idiot that hires her after this is a sure loser. Bannon? He is perfect for Trump, people that would vote for the moronic team would vote for Alex Jones, David Duke and the like.
I don't see how Trump can go anyplace but down from now on. Even if they have video of Hillary shooting someone on Time Square like Trump could do. Hillary is looking like a winner.
Not saying to take that for granted. Not at all. People get out and VOTE!
This man is right on! Don't let another election be stolen for the people.
http://theimmoralminority.blogspot.com/2016/08/al-gore-has-message-for-voters-and.html
Yes, there are some very important state and local elections in my state so I will be at the polls in November. I don't have a particular candidate choice for president yet but even if I don't have a choice in that race you betcha I'm serious about our local and state stuff this year.
DeleteThere's all this talk out there about immigration but he hasn't said a peep about Melania's own visas since that day when he claimed she'd be having a news conference within a couple weeks.
ReplyDeleteHe deflected and he lied.
DeleteAs much as I trust the Clintons on what they've done and not done re the Clinton Foundation, I want this:
ReplyDeleteNo shutting down of it. Find someone, like a Kennedy, to take care of things until after Hillary is out of office.
If they wait until after the election, make it clear right now that they are prepping someone to take the reins.
Hillary should rhetorically ask, and even ask Trump during the debates when the subject comes up, what he had hoped to get out of making a donation to the CF and if in fact he got what he wnated. There's no way that idiot got anything.
They need to cite more and more things that the foundation does and do as Carville has in making the other guys look like the bad guys in suggesting that the optics matter more than the fact that the CF saves lives every day.
They can compare what the CF does in comparison to the Trump Foundation. Their foundation is not about being selfish and is about making the world a better place and giving hope and life to the most needy (which also makes the rest of the world a healthier and safer place).
Once again, Trump claimed to have donated--wording used before today was in the past tense--and then only when the media followed up and pushed for accuracy did it come out that no check was actually written:
ReplyDeletehttps://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2016/08/23/did-donald-trump-make-donations-for-flood-relief-in-louisiana-heres-what-we-know/
It's the Veteran's charity all over again.
DeleteHe shows up for the photo op, makes a big claim but the media has to put the pressure on and keep it on until he finally cuts a check.
And he loves playing money games so that he actually doesn't spend a cent. Now that he's jacked up the Trump Tower rent, he can make a big donation and look like a hero but not spend a dime of his money. It's said that he will cut a personal check for the $100,000 relief, but he's getting so much money in his and his family's pockets by way of donations that he pays overblown Trump campaign bills with. I read that his family has so far actually made 7 million bucks from this campaign. The whole family is selfish and lacks ethics.
DeleteI absolutely love seeing Hillary Clinton beat Donald Trump's fat, wide ass!
ReplyDeleteAlso, CNN is non stop 'anti' Hillary Clinton as is MBSNBC! Plus, the National and State Republican party groups are spewing forth non-stop baloney about the Clintons.
It's so obvious the Republican party didn't learn a thing! Recall how they handled Mitt Romney! There were constant polls indicating him to be ahead even though he LOST (by a substantial margin) to President Obama. The National Republican Party could hardly BARELY agree that he had, in fact, WON, and have negated his presidency ever since.
They will do the same thing with Mrs. Clinton when she becomes POTUS.
Now, we need to defeat Republicans in the U.S. Congress and State Legislatures throughout the country.
Republicans SUCK as an entirety! They are not pro Americans. They've run our country and states into the red, have shown themselves to be racists, have harmed the minorities throughout the country to include poor white Americans, purposely have cut off medical care and medical insurance coverage to the poor and middle class, etc.
They just don't stop being the anti Americans party!
Vote Hillary Clinton! I know I am!
So, what you're really saying is there is no liberal media, hasn't been for years and that the current conservative media has a right wing bias.
DeleteTell me something I didn't know.
This is why I no longer have cable and don't watch any of the news shows.
It is the only way! Survival.
DeleteSpeaking of fat wide asses, yesterday our slender and fit pres looked great dashing off the plane with his jacket off and sleeves rolled up. No way would Trump ever do that! He has so much fat to hide behind his jacket. It could be in the 100's in Phoenix and he'd not take off his jacket. It was in the upper 80's when he was in LA the other day--he was the only one in a jacket. For three hours he was outside wearing that jacket he hides behind.
DeleteIt conceals his girdle!! He is an ugly, repulsive man child. No wonder he has to buy his wives. Imagine those two, a dumb fool and his prostitute wife occupying the WH after the very classy Obamas.
DeleteWas listening to MSNBC in the middle of the night, & had someone from 538. Was talking about how the STATE polls are much more important than national. Romney national polls showed him ahead, but all the state polls said the opposite. Good advice.
ReplyDelete"Was talking about how the STATE polls are much more important than national."
DeleteDuh. Anyone who doesn't know this needs to go back to 7th grade civics. We elect presidents state by state. You know, the whole electoral votes, electoral college thing. National polls make interesting cocktail party talk and little else.
Touting individual polls without the context of the average of polls and where they fit in the trend is meaningless.*Ahem* Is a new poll that's +7 above the current average a sign of a change in the trend or is it an outlier? You cannot know until subsequent poll results. But by all means, when polls say what you like, shout them to the world that it's a done deal.
Basically it's not the polls, it's the electoral college.
DeleteYou look at how the states are going and how many electoral votes they bring. So yes, state polling, not national.
MSNBC (Hardball, Rachel Maddow) are increasingly entertaining. Last night they talked about the TV ads that the Trump campaign is finally rolling out. Not only total amateur hour, but increasingly only on Faux News. Way to broaden your base, Dirty Donny!
ReplyDeleteThe theory that it was all big one money-making scheme, whereby he funnels campaign contributions into his own coffers, is making more sense by the day.
Politics is all about the money.
DeletePoliticians getting rich using our corrupt campaign finance laws.
Parties selecting candidates based on money. How they will benefit personally and how their corporate donors will benefit.
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/12/opinion/pieces-of-silver.html?_r=1
"So if you’re wealthy, or you’re someone who has built a career by reliably serving the interests of the wealthy, the choice is clear — as long as you don’t care too much about stuff like shunning racism, preserving democracy and freedom of religion, or for that matter avoiding nuclear war, Mr. Trump is your guy."
LOL!!
ReplyDeleteTrump campaign stating polls are wrong and not counting "undercover" Trump voters. Supposedly these are people too ashamed to admit they are voting for Trump. I say BS! Undercover Trump voters are the ones that still belong to the KKK but only wear their sheets and hoods at demonstrations.
How many are in a family, work or social situation where only Trump voters are where it is at? I bet there are more that hide the fact they would never vote for Trump. They only say they would to keep peace in family, keep a job or to be accepted in a group.
Delete"undercover" NEVER TRUMP VOTERS.
What does it say about your campaign and your candidate when people say they are too ashamed to admit they will vote for him?
DeleteI play a lot of iOS app games and they usually contain pop up ads and what I'm finding hilarious is every third ad is a Trump ad. Does he really think that app gamers are his demographic? I've only seen a few hillary ads but really, I don't think this is money well spent for either of them.
ReplyDeleteMore than a few times my game has become stalled or needed restarting after their ads popped up, that's no way to win voters if you ask me and I have the fastest internet phone connection money can buy, yet their ads glitched my games.
Thanks Donald and Hillary, for nothing!
I would think if anything those ads would have the opposite effect. Turning off gamers constantly being interrupted by ads and if they are all from the same person it would leave a lasting and bad taste.
DeleteThey are from both candidates and dude, really, I was gonna maybe vote but damn, both these people fuckin' up may gaming time is pissing me off, so they can both suck it.
DeleteI am both looking forward to and dreading the debates - but if trembling trump shows up to participate, Hilary will wipe the floor with him - but it will still be trump at his ugliest I am sure but hopefully after debates Hilary will 99 percent a sure win
ReplyDeleteYes - the odds of Hillary winning are looking very good. But it isn't enough to just win this one - Donald Trump has to be beaten by a large enough mandate that the racists and idiots will have to crawl back under their rocks for another generation or two.
ReplyDeleteVOTE.
They won't.
DeleteThe box is open. The djinn has escaped.
Donald Trump has given them legitimacy and they won't crawl back. They will demand the same treatment by the Republican party and future candidates. Anyone running as a Republican now will have to pay lip service and acknowledge the bigots and racists now. It's 'baggers on steroids.
And you can all thank Sarah Palin for starting the deterioration of the right.
If Eisenhower were alive he would do what others have done and quit the Republican Party. He might even register as a Democrat.
A double digit defeat goes down as a landslide (per Nate Silver). Said to be a rare thing these days, but I think it could happen. Debates generally do not change the picture very much either way. So there is no path to drastically changing the outlook for Trump. He will still be hard to put back in the bottle after the elections.
ReplyDeleteRemember that debat when Dubya had a mysterious "pack" on his back, supposedly a receiver giving him answers? Donald will need a much bigger one than that. Why was that not investigated, I wonder? tRump is a really ignorant person, gestures like a demented person.
DeleteI just CRINGE every time I see Trump's wild, meaningless gestures. And his voice! Jeepus have MERCY on us!
DeleteI honestly think Trump doesn't want to win desperately enough. He's showing up everywhere except the four states he needs the most, has hardly any campaign offices and boots on the ground, then there's the problem with the disconnect between his brain and mouth.
ReplyDeleteHis ads are laughable, while Hillarys use his own words to hit him and hit him hard. We can't get complacent and "sit this one out", we've got to vote and get out the vote the best we can.
Yea, vote for Hillary Clinton! I'm proud to do so in November.
ReplyDeleteTrump is in NO way qualified to be POTUS and represent America. Hitler II - a total jerk - lair and fraud!