Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton has a double-digit lead in the inaugural ABC News 2016 tracking poll released Sunday morning.
Likely voters give Clinton the edge over Republican nominee Donald Trump 50 percent to 38 percent. Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson has 5 percent, and the Green Party's Jill Stein has 2 percent.
Clinton is at her highest level of support in any ABC News/Washington Post poll, while Trump is at his lowest, ABC News noted.
Pollsters found that 69 percent of likely voters disapprove of Trump’s response to accusations about his treatment of women.
More than half, 59 percent, also reject the GOP nominee’s claim that the election is rigged against him, and 65 percent disapprove of his comments that he may not accept its results.
You this last debate was really Trump's last chance to change the direction of his campaign and reach out to voters who are not on board with him yet. And he failed miserably.
From here on out Trump will only be speaking at rallies attended by his followers and making appearances on Fox News where only conservatives go for their information.
I would expect that going forward we will see this gap grow even wider, especially if there are even more women planning to come forward before the election to accuse Trump of sexually harassing or assaulting them.
Currently Nate Silver shows Hillary's chances of winning at around 87.4% and Trump's chances at around 12.6%.
I was just asking myself if I wanted to have a drink after dinner. Then I saw this: Real Clear Politics has listed Texas as a toss up State. Yes, I said Texas.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map.html
Yes, I am having a nice scotch. Johnny Walker - red of course. Fucking Texas. Maybe Mr. Trump should have a rally at the Alamo.
Go Democrats. Turn Alaska Blue (and Texas too).
OT Glad to see this to>
Deletehttp://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/fundraiser-replace-emmett-sign-reaches-15k-goal-article-1.2842097
Trump is already preparing to lose by "winning". He'll just change his goal and declare triumph. Like he's always done.
ReplyDeleteThis reads eerily accurate.
https://www.yahoo.com/news/donald-trumps-fine-art-of-losing-192113945.html
"In 1983, Donald Trump bought one of the teams in the new United States Football League, with grand plans of making himself the center of sports — the center of everything — in New York. He would build Trumpdome for his New York Generals to play in. He would then use his team as leverage to merge into the far more lucrative NFL.
By 1984, when his plan didn’t work, he came up with another one — sue the NFL for $1.3 billion instead, claiming antitrust violations. Technically, he won the suit — but the jury award totaled $3.76 in the end. (No, that is not a typo.) To Trump, however, this was a huge victory.
“After taxes, I would say I lost $3 million,” he said at the time, but “I got a billion dollars of free publicity.”"
"In a series of conversations, more than one of Trump’s biographers noted that he regularly calls others what he fears himself to be — the obese man calling women fat; the man who works hard to hide his balding scalp insulting women who aren’t a 10; the candidate who visibly tires near the end of long debates calling other candidates “low energy”; the man who is on tape describing his own lewd behavior toward women saying it’s his opponent’s husband who is a “sexual predator”; the businessman who makes questionable use of his private foundation and the U.S. tax code, then calls his opponent “crooked” for months and then says she’s the one who’s been “nasty.”
But “loser” is the jab he uses most. “His deepest insult is to call someone a loser, his deepest fear is him being regarded as a loser, because deep down he knows that he himself is a loser,” Hurt says."
That's okay, Donnie, you'll have Ivanka to "soothe" you as only she can.
DeleteLately he has been trying to frame his rabble as a movement. It won't turn into any movement because the rabble has neither brains nor principles but they will turn into an audience for his TrumpTV which I understand will be confined to the internet like Sarah Palin's failed venture. With the FOX audience dying and Trump's very low credit score I don't expect that anyone is going to bankroll a rill TV channel.
DeleteHe'll call his remnant rabble a movement and declare himself a winner.
2:52 PM - "The MONSTER Vote," perhaps? All in capitals as typed. They will be reduced to another movement, bodily type, come November 9th and he will still convince himself he won.
Delete2:52. Not a movement. More like a CULT with Trump as their leader. He always did want to worshipped like a god.
Delete"This guy Podesta is a nasty guy," drumpf said Sunday evening.' little donny dude needs to look in a mirror.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.esquire.com/news-politics/a49868/trump-tower-what-a-dump/
DeleteYou mean Podesta isn't a "bad hombre"?
DeleteI guess because he isn't Mexican and isn't undocumented.
The Donald is his own worst enemy! He has totally flunked in his campaign rhetoric. He's a disaster, driven by ego and appears to have zero common sense!
ReplyDeleteAssuredly no qualities or personality Americans wants for their next POTUS!
I'm convinced that if he could just shut the fuck up his chances would go up. I hope he doesn't.
Delete5:45 - Really! If he shut up and just went back to Trump Tower and sat out the last two weeks, his polling would go up a lot faster than if he continue to campaign.
DeleteHe told North Carolina he's doing 3 rallies a day, sometimes 4. A "resting" day is only 2 rallies. I don't know if that is true, but if he is doing anything like that he may drop dead before the election. We all think he isn't as healthy as he says he is. We all know he doesn't have the stamina of Hillary Clinton or even Bernie Sanders. So a sudden heart attack or a stroke would be totally possible if he keeps up a schedule like that for the next two weeks.
Of course, that might be the October Surprise that would threaten Hillary's win. That would put Mike Pence at the top of the ticket (yeah, yeah but the RNC would put him there by emergency vote).
IF Only! dick Fucking Cheney>
ReplyDeletehttp://www.huffingtonpost.com/marty-rudoy/trump-supreme-court-confi_b_12605190.html
Josh Marshall analyzes the poll and seems pretty happy
ReplyDeletehttp://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/the-internals-of-the-abc-poll-could-be-a-big-deal
To Don,
ReplyDeletehttps://storage.googleapis.com/imgfave/image_cache/1452612837502628.jpg
Too good!:
ReplyDeletehttp://www.esquire.com/news-politics/a49868/trump-tower-what-a-dump/
Are those empty trophy cases for those Emmys he should have won?
DeleteMichael Moore should do a video of Trump Tower but he'd probably be kicked out by security.
Even Karl Rove says Trump can't win.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/karl-rove-donald-trump-cant-win_us_580cb4c1e4b000d0b15727dc
What a looney. Rumpity rump rump. Racist pos.
ReplyDeleteJanuary8 stlouisix • 3 hours ago
DeleteTrump IS Us.
-------
A sad fact admitted.
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2016/forecast/president
ReplyDeleteNRA now spending more against Clinton than even the biggest pro-Trump Super PACs
ReplyDeletehttp://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/10/23/1586021/-NRA-now-spending-more-against-Clinton-than-even-the-biggest-pro-Trump-Super-PACs
Good. Let them spend a LOT of money. They can consider it an economic stimulus package, moving money from them out into the general population.
DeleteWe all know Donald doesn't pay much attention to polls, especially the rigged ones, which we'll know when he tells us they're rigged. The writing's on the wall, Donnie, turn out the lights, the party's over. Basically, you have a few weeks to turn this around, Hillary just needs to show up and be herself. But that's not good enough for Hillary, she'll win by the widest margin she can,just to embarrass the hell out of you and Malaria.
ReplyDeleteThis probably isn't the time and place for this, but I have rarely been called politically correct.
ReplyDeleteBut does anyone else think tRump looks like an old woman( I am a woman so don't attack me over that)?
Between the white shirt( blouse) and the white tux tie( pussy bow), he is looking very, very feminine to me.
I am not judging anyone on thl preference, but am saying that maybe the projected image and what tRump's "real desires" are.
Maybe that is why he grabs women and sexually assaults them< why he can't stay married, maybe underlying all of tRump's lies and actions is just a man trying to tell the world he is a women.
You can judge me on this analysis all you want, but I have had 3 senior male friends finally come out as transgender and many of the overtly macho male images that they tried to portray for decades were just something to hide behind.
Thank goodness, I hope, the next generations will have an easier time not only coming out but with acceptance for who they are.
Anything's possible. Bruce Jenner looked like an old woman for quite some time before he decided to start dressing like one.
DeleteWhile campaigning for Democrats in Las Vegas, NV, President Obama took apart Donald Trump’s rigged election conspiracy, and in the process made the Republican nominee look like an idiot.
ReplyDeleteVideo:
http://www.politicususa.com/2016/10/23/obama-trump-total-idiot-debunking-rigged-election-talk.html
Hillary Clinton Is Now Tied With Trump Indiana As GOP Devastation Worsens
ReplyDeletehttp://www.politicususa.com/2016/10/23/hillary-clinton-tied-trump-indiana-republican-party-completely-collapses.html
http://www.politicususa.com/2016/10/23/clinton-blasts-trump-sore-loser-countdown-gop-devastation-tour-rolls.html
http://www.politicususa.com/2016/10/23/trumps-mental-state-deteriorated-hallucinating-poll-leads.html
Oh, man. I will put on a red dress and go out dancing if Mike Pence loses his own state.
DeleteTrump started this losing his state of New York. Duh.
It's over. VOTE.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.mediaite.com/online/no-seriously-donald-trump-lost-and-here-is-how-we-know/
This early spiking of the ball is going to cause people to believe their vote's not needed and stay home. Stop it. On Mar 7, a poll in Michigan had Clinton +27. She lost to Sanders the next day. Cross the goal line on Nov 8th, then celebrate.
ReplyDelete+10000
DeleteAMEN! In fact, I already have. Early polling for seniors.
DeleteAnd, if Humpty Trumpty is right, vote as often as you can! (SNARK!)
This is exactly what Michael Moore cautioned against. Not counting chickens. Not making any assumptions. Until you, yourself, go and vote, it isn't over. And it isn't enough. You have to make sure all of your friends vote too.
DeleteDon't believe polls, people! VOTE!
ReplyDeleteOld nevada rag>
ReplyDelete"The editorial board of the Las Vegas Review-Journal, a conservative outlet owned by billionaire casino magnate and GOP megadonor Sheldon Adelson, cast the GOP nominee as the best opportunity to shake up the Washington establishment. "
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/donald-trump-newspaper-adelson_us_580cd1a6e4b000d0b1572db3
The debates seemed to show Hillary debating the Grinch that stole Christmas. Don't be fooled. Go out and vote for Hillary, there is nothing he would not stoop to do to fool you into thinking he is not a threat.
ReplyDeleteIts SO important to impress upon your friends, that they still need to vote...because this election is also about your local Representatives and Senators!
ReplyDeleteNot to mention some local issues that could affect you way more than who is the President.
VOTE TWICE by dragging along someone who wasn't going to bother!
Trump is a rino. His ia tea rino. The true republicans must kick the t rump rino imposters to the curb after this election. The WRTP White right trash tea bag party of fools. Are there Russians in the Aip?
ReplyDelete