Sunday, October 30, 2016

New poll shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by four points in Alaska. I'm sorry, what?

Courtesy of Craciun Research:  

A poll of likely voters in Alaska shows Hillary Clinton with a growing lead over Donald Trump particularly with younger voters and women, mirroring trends seen in the lower-48. Craciun Research surveyed 400 voters and found 47-43 leaning for the Democratic nominee with less than two weeks until Election Day.

This most recent polling verifies the trend identified by Moore Information and Lake Research polling showing growing support for Clinton, and that the Last Frontier, typically a solid red state, may be turning purple. Trump’s support with likely voters meanwhile has dipped 4% since mid-October. 

The Gender Gap is at levels not experienced in the recent past with women supporting Clinton by a margin of 17% (55% to 38% respectively). Further impacting the race is the unprecedented endorsement of Clinton by the Alaska Federation of Natives board. In the rural North and Northwest regions of the State, the poll shows Clinton is beating Trump by a margin of almost 5:1 (74% to 15%). 

The poll may also shed light on who the 18% still undecided voters may pick. “If you look at non-partisan voters, Secretary Clinton is winning by a margin of 15 points. That may give you a sense of how the undecided voters will lean on Election Day,” according to pollster Jean Craciun.

I know very little about this pollster, and really only read about them this morning, so I am unwilling to give this poll too much credibility.

However the article is correct that this reinforces a trend that we have already identified up here of Trump losing support, and Hillary gaining in the numbers.

As I have mentioned before if Alaska WERE to go for Hillary Clinton I will be beside myself with joy.

And I promise right here in front of all of you that I will send Sarah Palin a bouquet of flowers and a thank you note for helping it to happen.

Of course as I mentioned earlier I may have to send them to API because if it is possible that a Trump loss might send her over the edge, it is almost certain that Alaska going for Hillary would cause a complete and total breakdown.


  1. Anonymous2:26 PM

    I'm going to hold you to your promise of sending Palin a bouquet of flowers and I expect you to post a photo if them here before they're delivered. Why don't you send them to Bristol instead and sign the card from Levi or Joey? That will send Dakota into a tailspin!

    1. Anonymous3:22 PM

      I doubt Duh cares. He is part of an arrangement and he has his own agenda.

  2. Anonymous2:27 PM

    Please DO NOT SEND $P flowers! A bag of dogshit would be much more appropriate.

    Or make a hefty donation to Planned parenthood in her name.

    1. Anonymous2:34 PM

      Only if the bag's on fire. Love the pp donation idea!

    2. Anonymous2:55 PM

      I love the PP donation also!

    3. Anonymous3:04 PM

      A Planned Parenthoid donation would be much better than flowers.

  3. Anonymous2:35 PM

    OMG, as if I didn't already want Alaska (and everywhere else!) to go blue badly enough already, you gotta toss in that incentive.

  4. Anonymous2:36 PM

    Nate Silver doesn't have them rated so I would take it with a pound of salt.

    1. Anonymous2:54 PM

      Give him time.

    2. Anonymous5:56 AM

      If Silver hasn't rated them, there's only one of two reasons.

      1. They're unreliable to the point where he gives them an F and leaves them off.

      2. They have no history to rate them by which makes them suspect until they do.

  5. Randall2:40 PM

    News Flash: While being interviewed during the election returns, as Sarah Palin is jabbering - head literally explodes!
    Palin continues to babble incoherently - television viewers amazed and disgusted - those listening on the radio can tell no difference...

    1. Anonymous4:10 PM

      It reminds me of the South Park episode where Britney Spears shoots 2/3 of her head off yet she keeps on with life, even without her brain pan.

      Sarah's like "Mike the Headless Chicken" she don't need no brain to keep on goin'.

  6. Chenagrrl2:49 PM

    So if sisstah sarah can't deliver the Great White North, what good is she?

    1. Anonymous3:26 PM

      Didn't she and her cohorts already cast their votes? For the Don and all the Ak Repub misfits. What? It didn't make the Don a shoo in?

    2. Anonymous4:13 PM

      Shouldn't $he be getting arrested right about now for that image $he took while voting?


  7. Anonymous2:51 PM

    Please thank Sarah Palin for this.

  8. Anonymous2:59 PM

    No matter what happens, this says all sorts of good things about Alaskans that some of us needed to know. For for so many years Alaska regressed into total wingnuttery and it would be nice to think that was over.

    1. Anonymous3:23 PM

      I, for one, have never blamed Alaska for the "thing" that is called Sarah Palin. She hood winked them; they're human. Her demise is ALL on her and, pardon me, I love to see her try to dance her way out of it!

    2. Anonymous4:08 PM


      She didn't "hoodwink" anyone, she was in the eye of a perfect storm; a split progressive ticket and more churchy people coming out to vote than sane secular folks.

      She barely won and then when in office she was a disaster from the get go and within 2 months "Where's Sarah" buttons were already being printed and distributed because she was more missing from Juneau than she was present.

      The powers that be made sure that Parnell would be her Lt. Gov because they knew she'd be history in 2 years of less, especially once she worked with the Democratic caucus to punish the oil companies; that cost her her job; she was pushed out and forced to resign and Parnell was able to fix what she "broke" in his second term.

      She got lucky, for a few years, that was it, she was inept and in over her head and she pissed off the "old boys" and they put her away by telling her on July 2 2009 she'd be making a resignation speech the next day or there'd be a serious embarrassment for her.

    3. Anonymous4:18 PM

      Yep, shadow dud gov is innocent. Only Sara is the hood winker.

    4. And yes. You said everything correctly.

  9. Anonymous3:10 PM

    I do predict that the popular vote here in AK will go to HRC but our 3 electoral votes will not and our down ticket elections will go to other parties.

    Baby steps.

    1. Anonymous4:31 PM

      We'll see, 3:10 PM Would love seeing the Democrats cream the asses of the majority Republicans in Alaska! They so deserve it!!

  10. Anonymous3:14 PM

    A friend and I - who are not Marijuana users - talked about the first new store that opened a few days ago in Valdez. A couple stores scheduled to open in Anchorage soon. We chuckled that with oil production going down and this new industry on the rise- we will most likely be a blue state soon :)

    1. Anonymous3:40 PM

      One thing Alaska is good at is producing dooey stoners. Well that and and the fertility rate of high schoolers, which drives up pot consumption.

    2. Anonymous3:58 PM

      Marijuana use not discriminate by party. Alaska has always been known for a lot of pot smokers and a lot of republicans, you do the math.

    3. Anonymous4:01 PM


      You really have it so wrong. Most of the people that consume weed are professionals, mainly because they are the ones that can afford it.

      Now, with the advent of legal weed here in AK, the price has doubled from street value "crap" weed, but with testing in place and the ability to purchase quality weed that has a known provenance and potency the price is way worth it.

      I know plenty of folks that are enjoying the 3 years now legality of weed in WA state and the state is enjoying lots of tax revenue too.

      This will be a boon for AK, a state whose economy happens to be headed head first into the shitter. Any tax revenue is better than none, even if from weed.

      My lawyer, my three doctors and my tax attorney all smoke weed. They all do a fantastic job.

      You seem to be living in a prohibitionist 1960 film and I'd suggest you get out more.

      The high schoolers that are overbreeding here in AK are simply products of poor parenting and some overbreeding/inbreeding.

      They have no guidance because they have stupid parents and bad genes and compromised intelligence.

      There's a lot of that up here but it's mainly the symptom of "wet brain" (alcoholics) than weed smokers; FAS children abound and FAS people are their parents and as a consequence they all make poor choices because they are mentally retarded, sad but true.

    4. Anonymous4:35 PM

      It would be good for the tourist industry. After Todd and Sarah did their best to make Alaska the most undesirable place to visit they need a better come on for the last frontier.

      If they can be more like parts of Europe and learn from some of the lessons, Alaska could be rolling in tourist money in no time.

    5. Anonymous5:10 PM

      Anonymous @4:01 -

      I'm not the other person but you sure seem to be a judgmental asshole by claiming someone is a Prohibitionist simply because they don't support weed usage. You must be a real bigshot with your tax attorney and your lawyer. Such a bigwig you need a regular lawyer and a "tax attorney"! Woo hoo! Aren't you hip!

  11. Anonymous3:25 PM

    Hoping you meant dead flowers will be delivered to Sarah, ms. hate deserves none but the best of dead flowers.

    1. No I am going to send her live flowers with a very nice note saying that we could not have accomplished the task of turning Alaska blue without her help.

      I cannot think of anything that would piss her off more.

    2. Anonymous4:07 PM

      >>I cannot think of anything that would piss her off more.

      I can. Instead of sending them to her, send them to Planned Parenthood along with a check IN HER NAME.

    3. Anonymous4:20 PM

      I vote for a donation to Planned Parenthood in Sarah Palin's name. No need to be wasteful even though your thanks is genuine, and your donation will work to help others.

    4. Anonymous4:43 PM

      Gryph can send the flowers.

      If you make a donation tribute in her name to Planned Parenthood won't they send her a thank you for 'her donation'? Maybe you can write a note with more gratitude for all Sarah does for Blue Alaska.

    5. Anonymous6:29 PM

      Isn't it foolsh to announce your plans to her ahead of time? If she doesn't read it here, someone she knows probably does and would tell her.

  12. Anonymous3:36 PM

    Harry Reid Blasts FBI Director James Comey Over Handling Of Clinton Email Probe

    Reid also said Comey’s actions showed “a disturbing double standard for the treatment of sensitive information.” He wrote that he believes the FBI possesses “explosive information about close ties and coordination between Donald Trump, his top advisors, and the Russian government,” although he offered no proof.

    1. Anonymous4:00 PM

      Reid is trying to deflect, of course, that is what they are all trying to do. Search warrant has been obtained by the Justice Department today.

      Maybe nothing will be found, maybe something very interesting will be found.

    2. Anonymous7:36 PM

      Idiot, he has no need to deflect. Half the country's judiciary is up in arms. Are they deflecting, moron?

  13. Anonymous3:45 PM

    What happened was that on Oct 26th Kim Dot Com threatened to publicize the 33k emails she deleted by exposing they've always been in the NSA cloud. He forced the FBI's hand to go forward with the investigation or Wikileaks would release them and their SAP information, which could start a war. Look up Kim Dot Com and his tweets. This was him and Assange, who have a very personal and valid vendetta against Clinton, forcing the FBI's hand, and rightfully so.

    1. Anonymous4:30 PM

      So the FBI can be manipulated by Kim, Assange characters? Isn't that like allowing Russia to control or influence our elections?

      We better go all out to learn the facts behind all this.

      How does that make Comey innocent of any treason or wrong doing regarding his country?

      That sounds like cold war and the Russians won. Not the election but they won a battle.

      They must have figured they would need more e-mails or something since that one maneuver is not enough.

      There will be more of something. If you want to influence an election and your move doesn't work, do you just quit?

      May be if your a Palin, but does a Trump just quit?

    2. Anonymous4:55 PM

      This was him and Assange, who have a very personal and valid vendetta against Clinton, forcing the FBI's hand, and rightfully so
      So you think Kim Dot Com and Assange should be able to dictate to the director of the FBI what his duty is?

    3. Anonymous7:39 PM

      The US completely fucked up with Dotcom. Completely. They brought that on themselves.

      As for Assange, not so much, but very badly handled and obviously not thought through.

      So there's that.

    4. Anonymous8:11 AM

      Nobody Is Watching Kim Dotcom’s Livestreamed Extradition Hearing

      Kim Dotcom, born Kim Schmitz

      CALLER: Now, there's a guy on Twitter, he's a genius, Kim Dotcom.
      RUSH: Hold a minute. We're getting in the weeds here. Your theory is that Comey came forward today why?

  14. I'd want to trebuchet a honey badger down the chimney, but I'm against animal cruelty.

  15. Anonymous4:10 PM

    "Before the Flood" - Leonardo DiCaprio & Fisher Stevens - Full Movie

  16. Anonymous4:33 PM

    Datum, must not called any of her useless children for the poll... or she would have been listed in fifth place with a 0.02% on the vote. Shit, there are towns in AK with less population than there are Palin bastards.

  17. Anonymous4:45 PM

    " Palin was potentially the most dangerous vice-presidential nominee ever, and she was only selected because the Republicans were up against history — the McCain campaign put winning ahead of country."Donald Trump may be the most unqualified person to ever run for office in America. He’s the only person I can think of less qualified for high office than Sarah Palin — at least she’s held political positions before. But he still has a shot, because Hillary Clinton is at the top of the opposing ticket and she is a WOMAN.<Try being black, female, LGTBQ..

    1. Anonymous7:08 PM

      Sarah Palin had Todd Palin.

      She was wife pimp and he did the gov gig for her.

      He would have been VP gig for them.

      Melania is easier to listen to and a better voice than Todd. Sarah may have been the front person VP but Todd would have more control and operate the business.

    2. Anonymous11:55 PM

      Republicans always put winning ahead of country.

      Otherwise you wouldn't have Donald Trump as the Republican nominee. They knew exactly what they were doing and still made a deal with the devil. Now they OWN him. They better be made to pay in the Senate. They need to be squished like bugs and made to eat four years of crow.

  18. Anonymous4:48 PM

    Oh Goody... Melanie might speak.

    1. Anonymous5:50 PM

      It is amazing that his supporters that hate immigrants don't seem to have a problem with Melanomia's poor English skills.

      Maybe they are too dazzled by her porn photos.

    2. Anonymous6:25 PM

      5:50 I no immigrant. I married into moni

  19. Anonymous6:20 PM

    Top stories

    Melania Trump to Deliver Her First Campaign Speech

    ABC News - 7 hours ago


    That is all folks

  20. Anonymous7:03 PM

    There's no way she doesn't know or doesn't believe deep down that her husband has cheated on her and repeatedly. And given that, there's no way a part of her doesn't believe the accusers. But she will lie for him and defend him no matter what. If Barron were a girl and she walked into little Baronessa's bedroom and found Donald on top of his daughter, she'd stay with him.

  21. Anonymous11:53 PM

    My prediction is that it is an outlier and that it will shift in the fallout from Asshole Comey's indiscretion.

  22. Trump voters not in likely category. In consolidated pollseven like at Nate Silver's, Alaska bright red. No flowers from here for Palin. She ll take credit for delivering Alaska.

  23. Anonymous3:32 PM

    Turn Alaska Blue!!!! Not for anything, the people deserve it and I like watching Sarah's bobble head go splody all over facebook. Can you imagine that drug fueled temper tantrum???? Hillary, with that touch of a perceived whine, will be her president, and it won't legitimize any of her grandkids.


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