Tuesday, June 27, 2017

Associated Press analysis proves that gerrymandering has given the GOP an unfair advantage in many state elections.

Courtesy of AP: 

The AP scrutinized the outcomes of all 435 U.S. House races and about 4,700 state House and Assembly seats up for election last year using a new statistical method of calculating partisan advantage designed to detect potential political gerrymandering. 

The analysis found four times as many states with Republican-skewed state House or Assembly districts than Democratic ones. Among the two dozen most populated states that determine the vast majority of Congress, there were nearly three times as many with Republican-tilted U.S. House districts. 

Traditional battlegrounds such as Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Florida and Virginia were among those with significant Republican advantages in their U.S. or state House races. All had districts drawn by Republicans after the last Census in 2010. 

The AP analysis also found that Republicans won as many as 22 additional U.S. House seats over what would have been expected based on the average vote share in congressional districts across the country. That helped provide the GOP with a comfortable majority that stood at 241-194 over Democrats after the 2016 elections — a 10 percentage point margin in seats, even though Republican candidates received just 1 percentage point more total votes nationwide. 

"The outcome was already cooked in, if you will, because of the way the districts were drawn," said John McGlennon, a longtime professor of government and public policy at the College of William & Mary in Virginia who ran unsuccessfully for Congress as a Democrat in the 1980s. 

A separate statistical analysis conducted for AP by the Princeton University Gerrymandering Project found the extreme Republican advantages in some states were no fluke. The Republican edge in Michigan's state House districts had only a 1-in-16,000 probability of occurring by chance; in Wisconsin's Assembly districts, there was a mere 1-in-60,000 likelihood of it happening randomly, the analysis found.

The Republicans have old fashioned, anti-progressive policy ideas, and they are facing a growing demographic that rejects their party out of hand.

The only way they can compete is by cheating.

And that has now become the go to strategy for both local and national elections.

No wonder they are not bothered by the knowledge that their party's nominee only won the presidency with the help of a foreign government that despises everything for which America stands.


  1. Anonymous5:03 AM

    I was reading about the 3 CNN journalist that resigned yesterday due to a story they put out that a close friend of trumpster is directly connected to Russian bank. Wow what a suprize. But why did they resign? All stories must be filtered first? Tell that to fox and fcc.

  2. Anonymous8:55 AM

    koch dealer bitch mcCONnell WOULD BE DEAD already...


    1. Anonymous9:16 AM


      Getter done...

    2. Anonymous9:23 AM



    3. Anonymous9:36 AM


  3. Anonymous8:58 AM


  4. Anonymous9:12 AM

    TOTAL Breakdown:

  5. Which is why they concentrated on winning on the STATE level first, so they could gerrymander to win at the FEDERAL level.

    You dumb Democrats!

    The census is coming up again in 2020. Trump's budget is cutting funds for the census. GUESS WHY.

    What will happen when 2020 comes around and districts are supposed to be redrawn according to the census?


    The DCCC continues to be clueless and will lose in 2018 and again in 2020. The Death Party is making sure that the Democrats will never win significantly again.

    The Democrats needs to stop relying so heavily on polling and assuming that logic and facts will win them elections. Time and again it has proven that isn't working.

    When a strategy is losing, making it more efficient just means you'll lose more efficiently.

    And they are on the road to losing given the new head of the DCC they just elected. More of the same losing strategy. Kansas, Montana, North Carolina, Georgia. That is going to be repeated all over the map in 2018 and 2020. Too little, too late, excuses, assumptions.

  6. This is simply their classic means of stealing elections. Gerrymandering has been around a long time. The 21st century has allowed them to refine and add more ways to steal an election. Like purging registrations and suppressing voters with ID laws. "Crosscheck" should be challenged in court and outlawed.


    "The election looks stolen by voter suppression, i.e., inhibiting certain classes of people from voting who legally would've otherwise.

    Trump victory margin in Wisconsin:_27,257

    Voters lacking new 2014 spec ID:__300,000*

    * www.thenation.com/article/the-gops-attack-on-voting-rights-was-the-most-under-covered-story-of-2016/

    A system, called Crosscheck, used in GOP-controlled states and detailed in a Rolling Stone report,[1] produced this result:[2]

    Trump victory margin in Michigan:_13,107

    Michigan Crosscheck purge list:__449,922

    Trump victory margin in Arizona:_85,257

    Arizona Crosscheck purge list:__270,824

    Trump victory margin in North Carolina:_177,008

    North Carolina Crosscheck purge list:___589,393

    1. www.rollingstone.com/politics/features/the-gops-stealth-war-against-voters-w435890
    2. us4.campaign-archive1.com/?u=33e4ec877eed6a43863a4a92e&id=3a5e219073&e=cb191139ca

    Notice they even included supporting citations. That's called.....research.

    It doesn't even mention the many, many Floridians that requested and never received their absentee ballots. I have to wonder how many of those ballots ended up in the trash, uncounted. That goes for provisional ballots. You know those provisional were majority Democratic so further incentive to simply trash them rather than validate and add to the count.

    Republicans are liars and cheats and have NEVER been held to their favorite word: accountable.


Don't feed the trolls!
It just goes directly to their thighs.