Silver currently writes about the polls and politics at a web site called FiveThirtyEight.com that is affiliated with the New York Times. His currect projections of the presidential race look quite favorable to the incumbent, President Obama, both nationally and especially in the swing states. Routinely he assigns percentage odds of a candidate (usually his beloved Obama) winning a state far higher and disproportionate any reasonable odds of that candidate winning a state as indicated by the polls.
His blog site has an article yesterday arguing that Mitt Romney's momentum in the polls has stopped. This is wishful thinking of a liberal given that the polls continue to improve for Mitt Romney. He still has Obama winning in Virginia and Colorado even though the most recent and credible polls in those states show Romney winning them. He gives Obama a 73.4 percent chance of winning Ohio, which is downright absurd, as Rasmussen has the candidate tied in Ohio, which really means the undecided voters tip the state of Ohio to Romney if the election were held today. So much for that fantasy-land 73.4 percent chance of Obama winning Ohio.
Nate Silver is a man of very small stature, a thin and effeminate man with a soft-sounding voice that sounds almost exactly like the “Mr. New Castrati” voice used by Rush Limbaugh on his program. In fact, Silver could easily be the poster child for the New Castrati in both image and sound. Nate Silver, like most liberal and leftist celebrities and favorites, might be of average intelligence but is surely not the genius he's made out to be. His political analyses are average at best and his projections, at least this year, are extremely biased in favor of the Democrats.
That exceeding unintelligent. insulting, and hysterically incorect post was written by conservative Republican, Dean Chambers, who was so pissed off that Nate Silver's 538 blog was making the case that the GOP's candidate Mitt Romney had ONLY the slimmest of chances of winning this election that he actually started his own polling site called UnskewedPolls.com, which has, for some odd reason, recently been yanked off the internet.
|Dean Chamber, a man who CLEARLY should not be casting aspersions about sombody's appearance.|
So they threw everything they could think of at Nate Silver, while those on the liberal side virtually made him our informational guru.
In the end Nate was so close to the final electoral tally as to be almost scary.
As of this post, Florida has not yet been called. However it is leaning Obama's way and if/when he wins it he will have won 332 electoral votes, which is just nineteen more than was predicted by Silver's model. If by some chance he does lose Florida he will only be nine shy of Nate's prediction of 303 electoral votes.
Statistically speaking THAT is un-fucking-believable!
In other words the math that the Republicans tried so hard to ignore essentially snuck up on them and bit them in their chunky pasty white asses!
Which also means my friends, that if tomorrow we wake up and Nate Silver posts that there is an 80% chance of an alien invasion, I am going to take the day off and drive to whatever open field they are predicted to arrive at and welcome our future alien overlords with open arms.
Hey, it would STILL be better than if Mitt Romney had actually won the election!
Update: Dean Chambers eats a big helping of crow.