Monday, November 17, 2014

Mass voter purges, not good candidates, may help to explain how the Republicans did so well in this midterm election.

Courtesy of Aljazeera:  

Interstate Crosscheck is a computerized system meant to identify fraudulent voters. While Crosscheck’s list of nearly 7 million names of “potential” double voters has yet to unearth, as of this writing, a single illegal vote this year, it did help Republican elections officials scrub voters from registries, enough, it appears, to have swung several important Senate and governor’s races in favor of the GOP. 

There is good reason to believe that Crosscheck-related voter purges helped propel Republican candidates to slim victories in Senate races in Colorado and North Carolina, as well a tight gubernatorial race in Kansas.

Crosscheck compares the lists of voters from states that participate in their program. If it finds two similar names it red flags them and they can then be prevented from voting.

Guess which groups of Americans are more likely to share similar, or even the same, name.

It is no surprise that Republicans control most of the top election positions in Crosscheck’s 27 participating states. In all, Crosscheck tagged a breathtaking 6,951,484 voters for the possible removal from the voter rolls as “potential” duplicate voters. 

Duplicate or double voting is a crime punishable by 2 to 10 years in prison. Yet, despite this supposed vote-fraud crime wave, not one suspect on Crosscheck lists was charged, although prosecutors would have access to any alleged fraudsters’ names and addresses. 

The Crosscheck list purges could easily account for Republican victories in at least two Senate races. In North Carolina, the GOP’s Thom Tillis won over incumbent Sen. Kay Hagan by just 48,511 votes. Crosscheck tagged a breathtaking 589,393 North Carolinians as possible illegal double voters (though state elections officials cut that down to roughly 190,000). 

In Colorado, Republican Cory Gardner was able to force out incumbent Senator Mark Udall in a race that had poll-watchers guessing all summer. The outcome might have been more predictable if Colorado had made public that 300,842 of the state’s voters were now subject to being purged from the voter rolls. 

Other states’ voting officials are less forthcoming about their purges. For example, North Carolina and Ohio refused to release their Crosscheck lists on the grounds that all these voters, more than a million in those two states, are subjects of criminal investigation, which allows them to keep the information confidential. 

If other states followed Virginia and scrubbed just 13.5 percent of their Crosscheck lists, that would more than cover the spread in the North Carolina Senate race and significantly contributed to the margins of victory in several other states. Moreover, this could account for the comeback victory of incumbent governor Sam Brownback in Kansas. Kansas originated Crosscheck and its Secretaries of State have been using it to promote the cleansing of voter rolls since 2005.

And that my friends is how you steal elections, and subjugate the will of the people.

This is why the conservatives are always demanding increased voter ID laws, it is not to keep voters from voting more than once, it is so that they can more easily disenfranchise hundreds of thousands of voters who might dare vote in way not to their liking.

33 comments:

  1. Anonymous12:16 PM

    What can we do about this? I am ready and willing to take action; surely there must be some action we can take.

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  2. And this part of how they rig the system in their favor - those fascists.
    M from MD

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  3. Anonymous1:09 PM

    Has this information been sent to the AG's office in Washington D.C., IM? Who is responsible for investigating this?

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  4. Anonymous1:15 PM

    I love how after elections..... the losing side ALWAYS starts claiming cheating, fraud, etc..... to steal the elections.

    The elections went pretty much exactly how most the pollsters had been saying it was going to, a republican blowout. Nate Silver (who has been referenced here many a time), on his final update 11-4 noted the Republicans had a 76% chance of winning the senate, due to incumbent President's parties not fairing well in midterms historically combined with President Obama's current unpopularity. (Outside your echo chamber he is not as well liked as you would all like to believe.)

    But keep pushing conspiracy if that is all ya got.

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    Replies
    1. Too bad you don't understand that Silver factors in voter suppression and related factors into his complex algorithms.

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    2. Anonymous2:01 PM

      Too bad you are (unsurprisingly) ignorant and wrong Liz. I'll try to help you out though.

      Here is a link to his last update on the 4th:

      http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/final-update-republicans-have-a-3-in-4-chance-of-winning-the-senate/

      Quoted from the article:

      "They’ve (Republicans) been modest favorites in the FiveThirtyEight forecast all year, in part because the national environment is favorable for them: the group of states holding key Senate elections lean red; several Democratic incumbents have retired and the others were last elected in 2008, a high-water mark for the Democratic party; President Obama is unpopular and midterm elections have a long history of being challenging for the president’s party."

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    3. Did you skip the words "in part"? Of course those are factors, but so is voter suppression. Nate Silver has been interviewed many times and has explained that voter turnout and vote (and voter) suppression are part of his algorithm.

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    4. Anonymous2:45 PM

      Here you go Liz quoted from a 2012 538 article by Silver regarding voter suppression:

      "I do not apply any adjustment to the polls themselves. My notion is that the pollsters are responsible for accounting for these effects, such as by means of their likely voter models or their mechanism of accounting for registered voters."

      Guess they are not part of his fancy algorithm. Sorry.

      His general take on suppression:

      "One last thing to consider: although I do think these laws will have some detrimental effect on Democratic turnout, it is unlikely to be as large as some Democrats fear or as some news media reports imply — and they can also serve as a rallying point for the party bases. So although the direct effects of these laws are likely negative for Democrats, it wouldn’t take that much in terms of increased base voter engagement — and increased voter conscientiousness about their registration status — to mitigate them."



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    5. Anonymous3:50 PM

      "increased voter conscientiousness" and therein lies even Nate Silver's white male privilege.

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    6. Anonymous5:12 PM

      What 3:50?

      Delete
  5. Leland1:20 PM

    This is one of those things which should automatically trigger an investigation by the Justice Department. My question is: WILL THEY?

    I mean, let's face it, the potential elimination of MILLIONS of voters should be something they should be concerned about. Voting IS a major civil right, after all.

    Other questions:

    How many elections cycles has this been happening?

    How many voters have been actually eliminated?

    Are the voters who are eliminated notified of their rights being in doubt BEFORE they are purged?

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  6. Anonymous1:33 PM

    The system is broken. Why even participate in a broken system? The millennial aren't even bothering to vote because they know the system is broken. When will everyone else stand up and refuse to participate? I hope that as the population ages and dies out that a concerted effort is put forth by the younger populace to simply say NO! to participation and send a message that things need to change before we'll ever go back to the polls again. Hell, my parents are leading the charge and they are in their 60's!

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    Replies
    1. "The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing."

      --attributed to various authors

      By the time those ignored evil-doers, allowed into office, complete the changes they so desire, it won't matter in the slightest if "the younger populace ...simply say NO! to participation and send a message that things need to change before we'll ever go back to the polls again."

      The powers that be will have no reason to give a good goddamn if those people ever go back to the polls. They won't need votes to stay in power, and if they do want to keep up the illusion, they will see to it that only approved voters vote.

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    2. Anonymous3:52 PM

      That's ridiculous. SO the remaining ten mentally challenged FAUX NOISE watchers get to choose our POTUS?

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    3. Anita Winecooler5:19 PM

      The costs of doing nothing are too high, until the system gets fixed, the best we can do is vote anyway.

      Delete
  7. Anonymous1:47 PM

    I would like to feel confident when I cast my vote after researching the issues, candidates, retaining judges etc that my ballot will be counted as x'ed on the machine.

    The election worker that checked us in really went over the voter registration and checked so very carefully with our drivers' licenses. And, we look like white bread Kansas Repubs.....

    RJ in BBistan

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    1. Anonymous2:10 PM

      When you said your driver's licenses were looked at I thought back on all my years of voting - and never had that happen. We live in Cal. and several years ago opted to start doing our voting by mail. But - does anyone know which states require ID for voting? I know this has become an issue the past few years and am just curious.

      Pat Padrnos

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    2. Anonymous2:55 PM

      I thought all the states require an ID, in Michigan I used my driver's license, but they will take other ID and it seems like they only started asking for it since 2008.

      I really don't understand what the problem is with asking for an ID. Most people have some kind of photo ID, otherwise how do they know you are really the person registered?
      --------------
      The rethugs can't win because they have no ideas or plans, so they have to cheat. I am sure most of the companies that make the voting machines are run by republicans.

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    3. Anonymous3:57 PM

      @2:55 - wow another privileged maroon, who can't understand the world beyond their own "special bubble."

      There are a lot of urbanites who don't drive and don't have drivers licenses and a lot of people of color and poor. Gettign a state ID is a hassle - while they are supposed to be free, just getting the necessary documents if you don't live with mommy and daddy (and a document organized keeping mommy and daddy ) can be a hassle. Then there's often getting to the county courthouse or DMV, and if the doc isn't exactly the right one, then back you go. AND a temporary ticket makes many think they can't vote - great disenfranchised for a speeding ticket!

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    4. Anonymous5:15 PM

      3:57 what does having an ID have to do with people of color? Are you saying people of color can't get id's for some reason?

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    5. Anonymous7:04 PM

      3:57pm

      How does a person even live life without some sort of proof of who they are? How do you even rent a dwelling without an ID? (Yes, I bet even in the "inner city projects" they ask for some sort of ID to secure a rental unit, much less utilities, you can't get any sort of utilities without some sort of ID)

      Just because a person is disenfranchised and doesn't drive doesn't mean they can make it through life without some form of ID. Even the elderly need to have proof of who they are for picking up prescriptions, you can't pick up a prescription without an ID.

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  8. Anonymous2:13 PM

    I've moved a lot, and have voted in five different states. I have never known that I should request to be taken off the voting rolls when I've left. I register in the new state and vote only where I am registered. So now I have to wonder if my vote didn't count in Kansas (where I'm registered as an overseas voter and must show my passport each year to re-register)? I better write my very friendly and helpful county clerk again.

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  9. Anonymous3:04 PM

    I am here in Colorado, still reeling about the fact that Gardner was elected to represent us. My husband and I have both lived in many different states due to school and work over the years. Now I wonder if there's a chance we were flagged. More than 300k voters were identified here. That might have made a huge difference in the outcome of our election. Yet, I haven't been able to find any information about the use of this Interstate Crosscheck within our state government's website.

    Ultimately, this isn't even about who wins or loses. There are people being purged without cause which takes away their right to vote. Even if they are voting Democrat in a deep red state, that is wrong, period!

    I hope this gets the national attention it deserves.

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    1. Anonymous3:25 PM

      3:04, Gardner (R) unseated Udall (D) by 2.5 pts last I saw- but in the Governors race Hickenlooper (D) saved his Governorship over challenger Beauprez (R) by 2.9 pts.

      Those were two very close races that swung in different directions. It does not hold water that Democrat voters were purged and swung the election for Gardner but not Beauprez. The bottom line is people voted their interests as could be seen from the overwhelming votes for legalizing marijuana- and also started voting out Democrats due to decreasing popularity with the White House.

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  10. Irishgirl3:13 PM

    "Election officials in St. Louis County, Missouri were repeatedly warned by local Election Integrity advocates that a plan to supply enough paper ballots for only 15% of the electorate at polling places on Election Day there would not be enough, according to emails obtained by The BRAD BLOG.

    The emails, sent well before Election Day, expressed concern and doubt about "enough paper ballots at every polling place on November 4th to cover all of the voters who would like to have one," as one of advocates wrote to the Democratic Director of Elections in St. Louis County.

    The warnings were ignored, the missives suggest, and, as reported by local media, the result was a widespread shortage of paper ballots on Election Day 2014 at sites throughout the county, including in the embattled city of Ferguson, MO. Throughout the county, the shortage of ballots resulted in long lines and voters who were turned away or forced to vote on 100% unverifiable touch-screen systems which the county has long encouraged voters to use. Some precincts were required to stay open at least an hour after the normal closing time in order to accommodate those who were in line to vote before the close of polls at 7pm local time."

    http://www.bradblog.com/?p=10945

    Just who the feck is in charge of voting that this can happen?

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    Replies
    1. Anonymous6:59 PM

      And why is nothing being done about it? That's the big question.

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  11. Anonymous3:26 PM

    They only win if they cheat. And you don't show up. Way to go, assholes. You get the government you deserve.

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  12. Anita Winecooler5:37 PM

    We got two injunctions in Pennsylvania when President Obama ran both times. They (the GOP) wanted two forms of photo ID, Yeah, it's free, but a lot of DMV offices are open two days a week for four hours. Ever try to find an 80 y.o.'s Birth Certificate? Off to this office.... that office..... "To prove who you are you need tax bills, checkbook, credit cards etc with your name and address" Fine, off we went to the DMV. "You need to fill out this form and mail it to Harrisburgh" WHAT??
    "You need to prove who you are and they'll send you the proper form, you add copies of your birth certificate, come back and get a photo card, go to this office get your photo taken, and they'll hand you your photo id"
    Sounds easy, right? Guess what. Three weeks passed, and yours MUST have gotten lost in the mail....... A week before both elections, they passed a law that a photo id wasn't needed.
    When I watched the polls, this lady came in with this great idea. "How about giving me a numbered receipt with the date and time to prove I voted, in case there's a recount or question about it getting counted?"

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  13. Anonymous6:27 PM

    This is a massive, nation-wide crime that will probably never be investigated or prosecuted, and the GOP knows that and is revealing in that fact. However, deleting someone form voter rolls because they are being investigated for a crime is illegal: only tried and convicted felons can legally be deprived of their right to vote. I think it's also most unfortunate that, once they serve their time, felons are not restored to full voting rights. What a shame that the right to vote is treated so shamelessly by political dirty tricksters and taken so lightly by the powers that be.

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  14. Anonymous10:39 PM

    We also have to figure out a way to fix THIS problem:

    I've smacked my own forehead so many times since the election, to watch interviews with people who explain they voted Republican because they are on food stamps and Social Security.

    And even though they like what Democrats are saying, they're afraid only Republicans will protect their welfare and old age pensions.

    Thanks, Fox "News" for creating a nation of complete imbeciles.

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  15. Anonymous4:09 AM

    It depends on the state when it comes to regaining your right to vote. Here in MA you simply need to re-register after your done with parole. No ID required. Address and name Only needed at the polls..

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  16. A Superfan In Atlanta4:31 PM

    Those tactics are only effective when a small number of voters attempt to vote. If they have been doing this since 2005, the attempts were futile because a large number of voters participated.

    Stop making excuses. People didn't get off their asses to vote.

    Simple.as.that.

    And yes, I am extremely disgruntled. Not because I am a Democrat, a Republican, an Independent or an Undecided. I am disgruntled because 1) the majority of people that did not vote are the biggest do-nothing complainers and 2) the people that are in office right now have made it extremely clear that the issues that are important to me are not important enough for them to protect and support.

    So I lose and will suffer the consequences of decisions made on my behalf of people too lazy to vote and people too (fill in the blank) to represent my interests.

    Disgruntled!!!

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  17. Let me guess.

    It's not names like Smith, Jones or Brown.

    It's names like Lopez, Rodriguez and Garcia.

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