Clinton lost 4 states (FL, MI, WI, PA) by ~1 point. If not for Comey/Russia, she probably wins them all by ~2 points & strategy looks great.— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) December 10, 2016
So if you're going to second-guess, a way better question is whether Clinton needed a better October Surprise response strategy.— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) December 10, 2016
There's more evidence, too: Late-deciding voters broke strongly against Clinton in swing states, enough to cost her MI/WI/PA. pic.twitter.com/8r801ahDQO— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) December 11, 2016
That was essentially the point that I made right after the election as well.I'll put it like this: Clinton would almost certainly be President-elect if the election had been held on Oct. 27 (day before Comey letter).— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) December 11, 2016
The Russians and Wikileaks worked together to undermine Hillary's trustworthiness, hoping to disenfranchise the still butt hurt Bernie supporters among others, and when that did not deliver enough votes for them in the polls they unleashed the FBI director.
From my point of view it seems inarguable that James Comey did what he did at the behest of somebody wanting to help Donald Trump win this election.
Whether that was the Russians, the Republicans, or Donald Trump himself remains unclear, but it is was obviously SOMEBODY connected to Trump winning.
THAT means that Comey should be removed from this post, and investigated thoroughly.
However that is now unlikely, because the guy he risked his career to get elected, did in fact get elected, and there is NO way that he will support an investigation against his benefactor.