Showing posts with label electoral map. Show all posts
Showing posts with label electoral map. Show all posts

Saturday, May 13, 2017

So Trump is planning to hang his electoral map in the White House. Just in case anybody doubts he won the election.

Perhaps he should think about hanging this one next to it. I swear this man is one giant sack of insecurities.

Monday, August 15, 2016

New polls show Clinton surging past the 270 electoral votes she needs to win this election.

Courtesy of NBC:

After releasing our seven battleground-state polls last week -- and seeing several other state surveys -- we've updated our NBC battleground map. The states in Hillary Clinton's column now add up to 288 electoral votes, which exceeds the 270 needed to win the presidency. Donald Trump, meanwhile, is at 174 electoral votes, and an additional 76 are in the Tossup category. Our last map, back in July, showed Clinton with a 255-190 advantage — so Clinton's tally has gone up since the conventions, while Trump's has declined.

Among those polls is one from Siena College which shows that Hillary is going to destroy Trump in his home state of New York.

Courtesy of Syracuse.com:

Hillary Clinton has widened her lead to 30 points over Donald Trump among New York voters, dominating a state Trump has vowed to make competitive in the 2016 presidential race, according to a new poll published Monday. 

It was the first Siena College poll in New York since the Republican and Democratic national conventions last month, and mirrors a trend showing gains by Clinton in national polls over the past two weeks. 

Clinton has surged in the Empire State since a Siena College poll in June showed she had a 23-point lead over Trump, 54-31 percent. 

Clinton, the former two-term New York senator, now leads Trump in his home state by 57-27 percent in the new poll.

Damn! That's gonna leave a mark.

And don't forget, these are the people who know Trump the best.

As for those young Bernie supporters? Oh yeah,  she has their vote as well:

Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton is consolidating the support of the Millennials who fueled Bernie Sanders' challenge during the primaries, a new USA TODAY/Rock the Vote Poll finds, as Republican Donald Trump heads toward the worst showing among younger voters in modern American history. 

The survey shows Clinton trouncing Trump 56%-20% among those under 35, though she has failed so far to generate the levels of enthusiasm Sanders did — and the high turn-out that can signal — among Millennials.

Once again remember, I share this information to help you to sleep at night and to give you hope.

But that in NO way means this election is in the bag and EVERY SINGLE one of us need to turn out and vote or none of this means a damn thing.

Saturday, December 08, 2012

Realizing that they can no longer win national elections Republicans now want to change the rules. By a show of hands, who did NOT see this coming?

Courtesy of Mother Jones:  

Remember, the presidential election isn't a nationwide contest, it's a state-by-state fight, with each state worth a certain number of electoral votes (the District of Columbia gets 3, too). There are 538 electoral votes total; if you win 270 or more, you're headed to the White House—even, as George W. Bush can assure you, if you don't win the popular vote. The Constitution allows each state to allocate electoral votes however it wants, but in every state except for Nebraska and Maine, the contest is winner-take-all. If you get the most votes in Pennsylvania, you get all of its electoral votes. 

Republicans want to change that. On December 3, Dominic Pileggi, the powerful Republican majority leader of the Pennsylvania state Senate, announced that he plans to introduce legislation that would change how the state allocates its electoral votes. This shouldn't be a surprise: Pileggi was one of the Pennsylvania politicians behind the preelection plan to change Electoral College rules. 

Before the election, Pileggi's plan (backed by a mysterious dark-money group called All Votes Matter) was to allocate electoral votes by congressional district, with the winner of each district receiving one electoral vote and the statewide winner getting a two-electoral-vote bonus. That might not seem like a big deal. But Pennsylvania, like other blue states in the upper Midwest, was subjected to a very effective Republican gerrymander after the 2010 midterm elections. Republicans won 13 of its 18 districts in 2012, so if Pileggi's preelection plan had been in effect, Obama could have been awarded as few as 7 of Pennsylvania's 20 electoral votes, despite winning the state. 

Pileggi's postelection scheme has a new twist. Instead of awarding electoral votes by congressional district, it would award them in relation to the statewide popular vote, with a two-electoral-vote bonus for the winner. That would prevent blatantly undemocratic effects like a candidate losing a state's popular vote but still winning its electoral votes. But it would still have a similar effect to Pileggi's earlier idea—it would ensure that at least some of Pennsylvania's 20 electoral votes, which have gone to Democrats in every election since 1992, would go to Republicans. In a close election, that could change the outcome. 

In other words, the cheating that he GOP did in this last election was not effective so now they want to pass laws to cheat the system in a more overt manner.

So rather than fundamentally change their message in order to reach a younger, less Caucasian, and less gender specific audience, the Republicans are simply looking for a way to continue jamming THEIR values and big business friendly agenda down the throats of the voters who just loudly told them "NO!"

Fuck that!

But hey if we ARE going to change how we count votes in this country, then let's just do away with the electoral college altogether, go to making EVERY vote count, and let the Republicans fight it out state by state, issue by issue, and vote by vote.

Because I will tell you right now, if they did it like that the Republican party would go the way of the Dodo Bird in no time at all. If, that is, they are not already at the brink of extinction.

Friday, November 16, 2012

Feel good image of the day.

If you are feeling a little down with all of the unfortunate news coming your way today, just take a moment and allow you eyes to drink this in.

Now there, isn't THAT better?

And do you know the best part?

As of this posting it is still proudly on display over at Rove's website, for everybody to ridicule.

And if that is not enough to bring a smile to your face, perhaps THIS interview with Roger Ailes will do the trick:

“I turn on the TV and the first thing I see is Rove saying something like ‘you called Ohio too early.’ And I thought, ‘What the? What is this?’” 

Ailes watched as his highly-paid pundit was challenging his decision desk’s call which would give the election to Pres. Obama. 

“So I quickly called [EVP of News] Michael Clemente and I said, ‘Michael whatever you do, don’t go to commercial. Don’t leave the screen.’” Ailes instructed Clemente to have Megyn Kelly, “go confront the decision team. If you have to, make the decision team confront Rove.” 

Ailes says transparency was the key, telling Clemente, “‘We can’t do anything off camera.’ I didn’t want the public or our competitors to say we somehow panicked and didn’t confront the truth on camera.” 

“As it turned out Rove was wrong. He backed down. Our guys were right. We stayed with it. Megyn did her famous walk down the hall. And it all worked out.” 

Oooh, so Roger Ailes was the one who orchestrated that very public smackdown of Turdblosson.

Now THAT is going to leave a mark!

Wednesday, August 08, 2012

Hey want to see some REALLY good news about the 2012 election?

You can click on the interactive scoreboard for more details here at TPM.

I am not by any means suggesting that Democrats should get complacent, I am just pointing out that things are really starting to look up for the President's reelection.

And apparently working in his favor is the fact that the more that people come to know the REAL Mitt Romney, the less they like him:  

After his personal popularity saw a resurgence almost immediately after he wrapped up the Republican presidential nomination, Mitt Romney’s favorability rating has plateaued at a historically low level, according to a new poll released Wednesday. 

According to the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, 40 percent of Americans hold a favorable view of Romney — virtually identical to the 41 percent high-water mark that his favorability rating reached in the ABC/WaPo survey from late May. Compounding matters for the presumptive Republican nominee: the percentage of the public who view him unfavorably has jumped from 45 percent to 49 percent. Romney’s standing is even lower among independents, with only 37 percent of the bellwether voting bloc viewing him favorably compared with 50 percent who view him unfavorably. 

So obviously the best thing for the President is that Romney get his message out far and wide, and have a chance to meet as many Americans up close and personal as he can before November 6th. And I support him in that effort.

Psst hey Mitt, you know what might help?

Put Sarah Palin on the ticket. No really! Just think of how much it helped John McCain avoid taking responsibility for his loss in 2008?

I mean sure you will still lose, but this way you can blame it on the batshit crazy lady from Wasilla. Besides the late night comics, and political pundits will LOVE you for it.

Just a thought.

Thursday, May 10, 2012

Electoral map thus far for 2012 Presidential election. Can you say landslide?

This map is based on the polls and analysis over at the Huffington Post. If you head on over you can see how they determined these numbers.

And this was BEFORE President Obama came out in support of gay marriage and we learned that Mitt Romney was an evil little asshole in high school. Imagine what the numbers could look like in the next month or so.

Of course there is no part of me that feels like being cocky, or getting my shoes ready for our victory lap.

I am still all too aware that there are millions of dollars ready to spend on negative attack ads against Obama, and tons of Republican dirty tricks to look forward to, but still this does put a little more air in my little blue balloon of hope.