Sunday, May 23, 2010

Fascinating post on Daily Kos about BP oil spill. You all need to read this.

From the Daily Kos:

I would argue that at this point in the disaster the die is cast, and it makes little if no difference to BP's ability to operate as a going concern whether the gushing volcano is stopped now or months from now. The sheer magnitude of the lawsuits is going to be staggering--think of the hundreds of billions of dollars in permanently despoiled property alone. All of these claims will ultimately find their way to BP's door, or the door of their excess insurance carriers.

Which is why it makes sense, from the standpoint of defending itself, for BP not to stop the gushing, and in fact to take half-measures which by their very nature will not succeed, yet prolong the appearance of BP "making an effort." The nature of this type of liability litigation practically demands that BP do this to survive.

If BP were able to stop the flow of oil through either its "top hat," "junk shot," or any of the other creative methods being bandied about, the line of attack at trial would be "Why weren't you able to do this sooner?" That's an argument that BP, with all of its hired experts, can never win. The sole question the plaintiff's lawyers will rely on (in addition to their case on causation of the explosion itself) will be "Was the technology available to stop this a month earlier?" The answer is obvious--yes, it was. Of course it was.

"Then, BP, why didn't you employ that method sooner?"

When automotive manufacturers introduced airbags, they were sued for failing to put airbags in earlier model cars. When construction equipment manufacturers introduced roll bars on their tractors, they were sued for failing to install them on earlier models. When doctors' patients get sick and die, the doctors are sued for failing to make an earlier diagnosis. That is the way product liability and negligence cases work. If BP stops the bleeding now, a key tenet of their litigation defense is lost.
Far better for BP to defend on the grounds that "nothing we tried worked," than to have something actually work, and then be called on the timing. That's why they're drilling that relief well. As we've been admonished ad nauseum by the media, the relief well is the only sure way to stop the flow of oil. In the end, BP will complete the relief well, and point to that as its defense: "See, nothing (else) could be done! How can you hold us liable?" And (and as an aside) you can bet that Chevron, Mobil, and Exxon are all watching how BP handles this very closely, because they know this could happen to them. This type of cataclysmic event presents a common threat to all oil companies--it's their worst fear.

For this strategy to work, however, the corporation must make a show of taking a series of plausible "measures" in order to bolster its defense that "we tried everything, nothing worked." But, understand, these measures must fail. That's why the "siphon tube" method was so useful to them--they can argue that their efforts brought fruit in reducing (not eliminating) the oil flow. See, we're good guys! And no, we can't quantify for you how much oil we saved there, but dammit, we saved some, give us credit!

BP already has armies of lawyers and experts prepared to point the finger as to the actual cause of the explosion, who bears responsibility, and most importantly, who should pay. They are prepared to fight that battle, which will degenerate into a "he said, she said" contest. But BP's goal now is to contain their exposure. The only way to do that is to keep failing until that relief well is drilled.

You know I hate to a cynic or a conspiracy theorist, but THIS explanation for what BP is doing rings truer than anything else I have read. 

And one has to wonder if these are the same reasons that BP refuses to use a less toxic dispersant to deal with the oil gushing from from the hole in the ocean floor.  Are they afraid that any other dispersant that they use to replace the one currently in use will fail to keep the oil away from the surface and hidden form view? Or is simply because they can pay themselves for using the dispersant Corexit 9500, since they also manufacture it, and do not have the same cost control over OTHER dispersants?

Or am I being too cynical?

16 comments:

  1. mommom8:41 AM

    While it sounds plausible,it seems that they did begin constructing that waste of time and money "Tophat"right away,its just not possible to build something like that overnight.The real fault lies with the pre accident maintenance and oversight.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Anonymous8:42 AM

    Sorry to say, this line of reasoning is a little too much like Rush Limbaugh's hypothesis that environmentalists caused the spill.

    As soon as that rig went, we all knew we were f**ked. Only those who didn't want to face the truth are still finding something ominous in distractions.

    ReplyDelete
  3. emrysa8:54 AM

    being the cynic that I am, reading this post was one of those "wow why didn't I think of that" moments. so tired of the stupidity and greed. the natural world continues to take a beating all because of some stupid construct of humans - money.

    thanks for posting gryphen.

    ReplyDelete
  4. ENOUGHwiththetrainwreck10:24 AM

    i tend to agree that when a particular industry is dominated by only a few mega-corporations, that it is simple for them to dilly dally along with respect to various control technologies and to claim that there is no "sound science" or "proven technology" available. well, if the largest purchaser of control technologies continues to refuse to employ control technologies - then our little free market economy dictates that no new business that provides the control technology can flourish.

    so - no, i don't think the author is stretching. i have seen similar ploys in other industries. it must be a corporate lawyer thing.

    ReplyDelete
  5. Anonymous10:34 AM

    BP has FUBAR the Gulf of Mexico. They know this. The people of the SE are now only just realizing it - denial is huge- as we in AK have been telling them what to expect from day 1. BP is toast in the U.S. Between the lawsuits (see ADN today on the 2006 Alaska spill case that is now being settled) currently being moved through the courts, their past legal issues (Re: Texas refinery) the political ramifications of their actions in countries throughout the world, their own shareholders bringing a suit against them. Expect within the next year that BP will claim bankruptcy and dissolve itself; only to only rise from the dead as some other monster.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Sorry. Look at Exxon. BP, TransOcean, Halliburton, et al will litigate this to death, delaying any pay out.

    ReplyDelete
  7. Anonymous11:20 AM

    Big businesses have been allowed to get away with breach of contract and breach of faith as a matter of routine.

    Buy a new house, roof leaks, sue and the Judge says sorry but big business made an honest effort to build it right.
    So sorry but that will be court cost and you get to pay legal costs for both plaintef and defandant. You say your roof still leaks and you don't have a couple 100K for lawyers and law suits. Well you should have thought of that before you sued.
    BP is setting up to plead "best effort" and the financially destroyed plainatiffs will not only have to prove damages but prove negligence though out the whole process from pressure test to every iota of the repair and clean up effort.

    ReplyDelete
  8. Anonymous12:21 PM

    You know of course that BP has an excellent Health & Safety record evry where else in the world? It either appears or seems to be only in the USA sites all of the normal high standards the rest of the world has to apply to work with them falls apart. IT wuld do some good I suspect to look into who built and who looked after before BP took on th lease.
    Just my tow pennies worth.
    Jo in the UK

    ReplyDelete
  9. Anonymous12:48 PM

    This is going to be real ugly. Not only for the environment, but also for BP and TransOcean. If BP is like most large Oil corporations, like ExxonMobil and Chevron, they don't have an outside Insurance carrier. They are "self-insured". "Accidents" like this are the reason why. It only takes one incident like this to wreck a company. Most Insurance carriers do not have pockets that deep.

    ReplyDelete
  10. Anonymous12:48 PM

    BP-Beyond Petroleum.....Bad Petroleum.....Bullshit Propaganda......Born Pretender's.

    THis spill is going to be washing up over in England and the west coast of Europe befor the well is pulged.

    This is a wake up call......one that will linger for a long long time.

    The Kindom of Balance.....were will the world leaders take us after this tragedy? More oversight, more rules and regs, more war, and more same old same old.

    THE USA- UNQUENCHABLE SAVAGE APPETITE

    WE must role model a steady state of balance and harmony on the planet.

    ReplyDelete
  11. Anonymous2:08 PM

    BP should be NATIONALIZED TODAY.

    ReplyDelete
  12. Anonymous4:35 PM

    Don't know if I agree with this theory. If they claim they've tried everything and just can't stop the flow, won't the line of questioning/accusations then be that they lied when they said they could handle any leaks that might happen? In the meantime, Americans are just getting angrier and angrier at them.

    ReplyDelete
  13. I think the legal reasoning used in the KOS Diary is flawed, given that the cause this catastrophic event was not something unforeseeable or beyond their control. My experience in liability is derived from my experience in aviation, and I am assuming that the basic principles apply more broadly. You need to consider what all three parties involved, BP, X-Ocean, and Halliburton knew - they knew that there were no established methods to control well flow in the event of a blowout combined with a BOP malfunction. Did that knowledge guide operational decision making? It did not. They knew which down-hole practices minimized the risk of a blowout, and which practices elevated risk. When dealing with liability, choices that elevate risk above a readily available lower level of risk take on the specter of negligence. It's one thing to decide that a risk is acceptable for the sake of expediency, and even though you may have had the right to make that decision(meaning no one is going to sue you if everything works out the way you want), it's quite another thing to sit on the witness stand and justify it after you've been proved wrong, and your decision has led to death and disaster. At that point, you can't defend the decision, only the process by which you made it. If you made it with knowledge of the risks and potential consequences, you're toast. It's important to remember before you bet the farm and roll the dice just what losing the farm would mean.

    Just with what we know already, and what has been alleged in some cases, about the high-risk decisions that were made - the unaddressed damage to the BOP, the failed and unaddressed pressure test, the low battery and inop control module on the BOP, the hydraulic leak and the disabled (and unlogged) ram on the BOP, the decision to replace heavy drilling mud w/ seawater and the attendant pressure increase on the green concrete plugs, even the absence of an acoustic switch (even though it was not required, it was available to them and fits their pattern of skewed priorities), there will almost certainly be at least one finding of negligence (maybe more). But even without negligence, there is a laundry list of decisions that elevated the risks above what was necessary, and those decisions were all made in full knowledge of the fact that the BOP was the only thing that could stop an unparalleled disaster that would leave them with no established timely remedy.

    My belief is that the failure of well control methods already known to be hit-and-miss, and not tested at the depth BP would need them to perform, cannot in any way be used to mitigate BP's liability. Taken as a whole, BP's operational decision making has proved to be unreasonably risky, and possibly reckless. They knew the risks, and we all know the result they achieved. They bet the farm and rolled the dice...

    ReplyDelete
  14. TOP HAT

    "Then, BP, why didn't you employ that method sooner?"
    Well, I know, I know. And, so can you..

    Maybe somewhere in this press conference you'll get the answer. But, most of you arn't really looking for answers or solutions.
    http://www.dvidshub.net/?script=video/video_show.php&id=85821
    GET INFORMED ON THE DEEP WATER HORIZON SPILL THINGS CHANGE EVERYDAY!!

    ReplyDelete
  15. I'm a former Insurance Agent and this strategy would only work with a smaller spill. BP's exposure is two fold. As the lease holder, they are responsible for the Actual Tangible Cash Damages no matter what. This unfortunately is beyond estimate.
    If negligence is proven they would be responsible for intangibles like the suffering of 10,000s fishermen have to go through from losing their jobs.
    The shear size of the disaster in worst case scenarios makes it unlikely that there is enough money in the world to handle both the tangible and intangible losses. As it is it is unlikely that BP has the money to cover the tangibles.

    ReplyDelete
  16. Anonymous8:40 AM

    Look, I can't say all I know, but I do know people who are at Unified Command, and I can promise you this is BS. Most of the press you see is BS. It's half-a$$ed, one-sided reported designed to feed a crisis mentality so you stay tuned. Everyone, the Coast Guard, BP, NOAA--everyone is there trying very hard to handle this thing. It's very frustrating for them to put in the hours and hours of work they're doing to have people say they don't care or aren't trying.

    ReplyDelete

Don't feed the trolls!
It just goes directly to their thighs.